Now that we are down to a head-to-head match-up, there are three categories to analyze.
1) What Vegas Thinks
Anybody who loves to bet knows professional gamblers pay attention to five key statistics:
During the regular season, The 49ers dominated the Ravens in 4 0f the 5 statistical categories, with the 5th being a virtual tie. In the post-season, the Ravens narrowed the gap, but not enough to keep the 49ers from appearing on paper as a statistical favorite.
Advantage: San Francisco
2) The On-the-Field Matchups
The 49ers offensive line is the best front five in the NFL, and the Ravens defense is old, slow, injured and over-rated. Frankly, I think Baltimore used its “miracle” card holding the Patriots offense to 13 points in Foxboro, although they did get a significant amount of help from some seriously bad play and decision-making on Tom Brady’s part. The Ravens offensive line is pretty solid as well, and has been playing exceptionally well of late, but the 49ers feature the best line-backing corps in the league and the defensive line ain’t bad either.
Kaepernick vs. Flacco. Young vs. Not Old Yet. Relatively Inexperienced vs. Pretty Well-Established. New-School “Scrambler” vs. “Old-School” Pocket Passer. No matter how you frame it, this should be one of the most interesting Super Bowl match-ups of quarterbacks having completely different styles since Donovan “Runs Around And Still Doesn’t Make Plays” McNabb faced Tom “Can’t Outrun Haloti Ngata” Brady.
Insert your own joke here about which Harbaugh brother gave the other one wedgies when they were kids. Joke all you want about the coaching brothers, they aren’t the only similarities these teams share. Both teams have a bruising running game, both teams have a solid set of receivers, and both teams have a “go-to” tight end, although Vernon Davis is a Mercedez-Benz and Dennis Pitta is more like a solid, American-built pick-up truck.
Advantage: San Francisco
3) A Comparison of the Cities
The horrible nature of Baltimore simply cannot be understated. One of the great tragedies in our lifetime was that the 2001 Howard Street Tunnel fire didn’t cauterize that weeping sore know as Baltimore off the face of the planet. If Baltimore were a baby, it would have been the result of West Virginia raping Washington, D.C. There’s a reason why Baltimore is one of few cities to lose three sports franchises. In 1903, the original Baltimore Orioles left for New York to eventually become the Yankees. The NBA’s Baltimore Bullets fired their way down-range to D.C in the 1970’s, and the Baltimore Colts literally skulked out of town in the middle of the night in 1984.
San Francisco gets a bad rap for being like a bowl of Granola…full of fruits, nuts, and flakes. While that may be true, there’s something to be said about a city that has remained one of the greatest cities in America despite the fact it has been run by a bunch of liberal panty-wastes for close to four decades.
Advantage: San Francisco
Despite the fact this looks to be an advantage across the board for the 49ers, this game likely will promise to be close with the team who makes the least mistakes prevailing. As far as your picking which team to back, you simply have to look at the fan base with which you are going to align yourself. Your choices are:
A) Homeless Banjo Santa…OR…
B) Guys who want to create some sort of urban West Virginia with Barney the Pimp.
Choose carefully, America. The enjoyment of your Super Bowl Sunday is riding on it.
I really don’t know why, but I’m having a hard time giving a crap who wins. One team is coached by a lunatic and Ray Lewis plays for the other.
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That almost sounds like a punch-line.
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Aero couldn’t have expressed my feelings any better. Nut case vs. Nut case. That being said I do agree San Fran has the advantage…especally in those areas you note above.
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I looked at almost every pro vs con, position by position, WR vs DB for both teams. Really it comes down to two positions.
1) Aldon Smith vs. Anybody. Smith is going to abuse whomever Baltimore lines up on the left side, forcing the Ravens to leave their FB or TE to help out. This also allows the SF safeties to worry less about Pitta and double Torrey Smith. Trust me as a Steeler fan that has seen Flacco often. He throws the deep sideline route better than anyone in football, but thats all hes got. Take that away and he is so average that if you squint really hard, Flacco looks like a drunk Trent Dilfer.
2) Capernik vs Kruger. Baltimore’s defense is tough, but not very fast. Disciplined but not quick. Except for Kruger. Kruger has been their best defensive player BY FAR for two months now. He is a pure speed rusher that forces passers to step up and throw before they want to. But on the right side against the Pistol he is going to have to wait and read Capernik’s option. Even with Kruger being a dominant player for 2 months (5.5 sacks, 3FF, 2 FR) the defense is giving up well over 25 points a game.
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I’ve been to Baltimore. And I lived to tell about it. That is all the people need to know.
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I know how you feel. I spent ten years there one weekend.
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