Tag Archives: Mel Kiper

What Your Team Needs To Do With It’s 2013 NFL Draft Pick

JW and Goodell draft

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. Everybody has a “mock draft or a “big draft board,” and we are no different…well, except we here at Dubsism are not interested in being the next Mel Kiper; we are more interested in making your team better rather than listening to ourselves blather on or getting some face time four our increasingly-odd pompadour.

In other words, we wholeheartedly reject the “Mel Kiper theory” which states you always draft the best player available. Sometimes, you are better off making a move to help your team. Be advised that as you peruse this list, “The Kiper Theory” is based on an aggregate of several mock drafts and Kiper’s own board. Then, we will give you the best available player according to the Dubsism Big Board. After that, we will give you the straight dope on what we believe your team really needs to do to best address its needs.  Be advised that we here at Dubsism really don’t care what Mel says, and we really don’t care that much about workouts, combines, and the silliness of those college “all-star ” games which are really just glorified scrimmages. Instead, we are all about realistic football solutions.

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The Dubsism “Anti-Kiper” 2013 NFL Draft Board

mel kiper slash

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. So, take a few moments to look forward so that your team can give itself a better shot to be where the Ravens find themselves today.

Everybody has a NFL Draft “Big Board.” But unlike the ones you  get from the “professionals” at ESPN, we here at Dubsism offer a draft board based on the fact we actually have watched college football at some point in our lifetimes. This means we don’t care about how much we love to hear our own bloviation, there isn’t another blog out there taking shots at us yet (so we don’t have that whole “Mel Kiper/Todd McShay thing happening), and we aren’t worried about how much face time our increasingly oddly-shaped pompadour gets.

Rather, we would rather put out rookie  draft “shopping list” that we feel is our best effort to help you, the NFL fan who knows almost nothing about college football beyond the first few picks. We also won’t give you any flowery summaries of these players; there’s eight billion other sites doing that. Our model is you peruse the lists, both overall and by position, and decide which of these guys may help plug the numerous holes your favorite team has. However, we don’t bother with kickers and punters, largely because they are literally a “dime-a-dozen” and if you think a kicker is all that separates your team from a Super Bowl, you likely need a psychiatrist more than a draft board.

We will revisit this list with some advice on what your sorry-ass team needs to do in order to improve itself, and this board will play a large part in that counsel. The one thing I would caution you against is that we here at Dubsism are firm believers in the “Mike Mamula” rule; meaning we don’t put much stock in the witchcraft that are the NFL Combines, so don’t expect this board to change significantly.

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The Dubsism Comprehensive 2012 NFL Draft Review – Who Gained and Who Lost

Things to Remember:

  • References to the “Kiper Theory” are ironically based on our Dubsism Anti-Kiper NFL Draft Board.  All of our draft predictions are based on this board.
  • We refused to change our board based on hype, workouts, or Todd McShay. As one of the the only draft prognosticators we know who actually watches college football earlier than December, we based our rankings on something simple: the guy we thought would be the best NFL player. We covered as to why we reject conventional wisdom in ourTeam-by-Team warning about the NFL Draft.
  • The more Mel Kiper disagrees with us, the more we believe we are right.  At the same time, we have undying respect for a guy we also think is a complete fraud.  Kiper never stands behind things he says unless he happened to be right, and he changes his mind constantly in the run up to the draft. This is why when we compare our prognstications to the Great Hair-Do, we use ours and his originals, rather than one of his constant revisions.  On the other hand, how can you not respect a guy who has made a whole career and millions of dollars out of saying “Trev Alberts sucks?”

Things We Got Right:

Guys we had in the Top 64 who were actually drafted in the Top 64:

  • Andrew Luck, QB,  Stanford, Round 1, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 1
  • Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor, Round 1, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 2
  • Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama, Round 1, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 3
  • Matt Kalil, OT, USC, Round 1, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 4
  • Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State, Round 1, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 5
  • Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU, Round 1, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 6
  • Mark Barron, S, Alabama, Round 1, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 7
  • Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College, Round 1, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 9
  • Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina, Round 1, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 10
  • Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis, Round 1, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 11
  • Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State, Round 1, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 12
  • Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame, Round 1, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 13
  • Michael Brockers, DE, LSU, Round 1, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 14
  • Bruce Irvin, DE, West Virginia, Round 1, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 15
  • Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina, Round 1, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 16
  • Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama, Round 1, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 17
  • Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina, Round 1, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 18
  • Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor, Round 1, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 20
  • Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State, Round 1, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 22
  • Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa, Round 1, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 23
  • David DeCastro, OG, Stanford, Round 1, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 24
  • Dont’a Hightower, ILB, Alabama, Round 1, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 25
  • Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois, Round 1, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 26
  • Nick Perry, DE, USC, Round 1, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 28
  • David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech, Round 1, Pick 32 Overall Pick # 32
  • Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford, Round 2, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 34
  • Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama, Round 2, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 35
  • Andre Branch, OLB, Clemson, Round 2, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 38
  • Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama, Round 2, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 39
  • Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford, Round 2, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 42
  • Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech, Round 2, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 43
  • Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina, Round 2, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 45
  • Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State, Round 2, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 51
  • Zach Brown, ILB, North Carolina, Round 2, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 52
  • Devon Still, DT, Penn State, Round 2, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 53
  • Peter Konz, OC, Wisconsin, Round 2, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 55
  • Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State, Round 2, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 56
  • Kelechi Osemele, OG, Iowa State, Round 2, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 60
  • LaMichael James, RB, Oregon, Round 2, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 61
  • Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson, Round 3, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 64

Things We Got Wrong:

Guys we had in the Top 64 who were not drafted in the Top 64:

  • Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers, Round 3, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 83
  • Nick Foles, QB, Arizona, Round 3, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 88
  • Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson, Round 3, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 93
  • Lamar Miller, RB, Miami (FL), Round 4, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 97
  • Ben Jones, OC, Georgia,  Round 4, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 99
  • Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State, Round 4, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 106
  • Alameda Ta’amu, DT, Washington, Round 4,  Pick 14, Overall Pick # 109
  • Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi, Round 4, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 112
  • Ronnell Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma, Round 4, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 125
  • Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska, Round 4, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 126
  • Brandon Mosley, OT, Auburn, Round 4, Pick 36, Overall Pick # 131
  • Josh Chapman, DT, Alabama, Round 5, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 136
  • Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State, Bills, Round 5, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 144
  • Juron Criner, WR, Arizona, Round 5, Pick 33, Overall Pick # 168
  • Markelle Martin, S, Oklahoma State, Round 6, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 190
  • Brandon Washington, OG, Miami (FL), Round 6, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 200
  • Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska, Round 7, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 224
  • Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State, Round 7, Pick 34, Overall Pick # 241

Guys we did not have in the Top 64 who were in fact drafted in the Top 64:

  • Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M, Round 1, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 8
  • Shea McClellin, DE, Boise State, Round 1, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 19
  • Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse, Round 1, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 21
  • Kevin Zeitler, OG, Wisconsin, Round 1, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 27
  • Harrison Smith, S, Notre Dame, Round 1, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 29
  • A.J. Jenkins, WR, Illinois, Round 1, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 30
  • Doug Martin, RB, Boise State, Round 1, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 31
  • Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State, Round 2, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 33
  • Derek Wolfe, DE, Cincinnati, Round 2, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 36
  • Mitchell Schwartz, OT, California, Round 2, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 37
  • Amini Silatolu, OG, Midwestern State, Round 2, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 40
  • Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia, Round 2, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 41
  • Jeff Allen, OT, Illinois, Round 2, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 44
  • Mychal Kendricks, ILB, California, Round 2, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 46
  • Bobby Wagner, OLB, Utah State, Round 2, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 47
  • Tavon Wilson, S, Illinois, Round 2, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 48
  • Kendall Reyes, DE, Connecticut, Round 2, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 49
  • Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati, Round 2, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 50
  • Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma, Round 2, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 54
  • Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State, Round 2, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 57
  • Lavonte David, OLB, Nebraska, Round 2, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 58
  • Vinny Curry, DE, Marshall, Round 2, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 59
  • Casey Hayward, CB, Vanderbilt, Round 2, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 62
  • Reuben Randle, WR, LSU, Round 2, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 63

Guys We Rated in our Top 64 who were not drafted:

  • Vontaze Burfict, ILB, Arizona State
  • Chris Polk, RB, Washington
  • Levy Adcock, OT, Oklahoma State
  • Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia
  • Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina

Stats and Facts:

  • 253 Total Picks
  • 32  Compensatory picks
  • 101 Picks were traded

Picks by Position:

  • WR – 34
  • CB – 33
  • DE – 27
  • OLB – 22
  • OT – 21
  • RB – 18
  • DT – 18
  • OG – 18
  • S -17
  • ILB – 11
  • QB – 11
  • TE – 10
  • OC – 5
  • K – 4
  • FB – 2
  • P – 2

Draft Picks by Conference/League  and School:

1) SEC – 42

  • 8 – Alabama
  • 7  – Georgia
  • 6 –  South Carolina
  • 5 –  LSU
  • 4 – Arkansas
  • 3 – Mississippi State
  • 2 – Florida
  • 2  – Kentucky
  • 2 – Vanderbilt
  • 1 –  Auburn
  • 1 – Mississippi
  • 1 – Tennessee

2) Big Ten – 41

  • 6 – Wisconsin
  • 6 –  Iowa
  • 6  – Michigan State
  • 4 –  Illinois
  • 4 –  Nebraska
  • 4 –  Ohio State
  • 4  – Penn State
  • 3  – Michigan
  • 2  – Purdue
  • 2  – Northwestern

3) ACC – 31

  • 6 – Miami (FL)
  • 5 –  North Carolina State
  • 4 –  Clemson
  • 4 –  Florida State
  • 4 –  Wake Forest
  • 3 –  Virginia Tech
  • 2 –  North Carolina
  • 1 – Boston College
  • 1 – Georgia Tech
  • 1 – Virginia

4) Pac-12 – 28

  • 6 – California
  • 4 – Oregon
  • 4  – Stanford
  • 3 – Arizona
  • 3 – USC
  • 2 – Arizona State
  • 2 – Colorado
  • 2 – Washington
  • 1 – Oregon State
  • 1 – Utah

5) Big 12 – 25

  • 6 – Iowa
  • 5 – Ohio State
  • 5 – Wisconsin
  • 4 – Illinois
  • 2 – Indiana
  • 2 – Michigan
  • 2 – Michigan State
  • 2 – Penn State
  • 1 – Purdue

6) Big East – 22

  • 7  – Oklahoma
  • 5 –  Baylor
  • 4 – Texas A&M
  • 3  – Oklahoma State
  • 3  – Texas
  • 1 – Iowa State
  • 1  – Kansas State
  • 1  –  Missouri

7) MWC – 13

  • 6  – Boise State
  • 4  – San Diego State
  • 2  – TCU
  • 1  – New Mexico State

8 ) Big East – 11

  • 3 –  Cincinnati
  • 3  – West Virginia
  • 2  – Syracuse
  • 1  – Connecticut
  • 1  – Louisville
  • 1  – Rutgers

9) FCS (The league formerly known as I-AA) – 11

  • 2  – Montana
  • 1  – Appalachian State
  • 1  – Arkansas State
  • 1  – Delaware
  • 1  – Georgia State
  • 1  – Idaho
  • 1  – Maine
  • 1 –  Northwestern State
  • 1 – Samford
  • 1  – South Dakota

10) Conference USA – 10

  • 4 – SMU
  • 1  – Central Florida
  • 1  – Marshall
  • 1  – Memphis
  • 1  – Rice
  • 1 – Southern Miss
  • 1 – UAB

11) WAC – 9

  • 4  – Nevada
  • 3  – Utah State
  • 1  – Fresno State
  • 1  – Hawaii

12) D-II – 9

  • 1  – Abilene Christian
  • 1  – Cal Poly
  • 1  – Chattanooga
  • 1  – Coastal Carolina
  • 1  – Eastern Washington
  • 1  – Midwestern State
  • 1  – North Alabama
  • 1  – South Carolina State
  • 1  – Western Oregon

13) MAC – 9

  • 4  – Temple
  • 2  – Western Michigan
  • 1  – Miami (OH)
  • 1  – Northern Illinois
  • 1  – Ohio

14) Sun Belt – 5

  • 2  – Louisiana-Lafayette
  • 1  – Florida Atlantic
  • 1  – Florida International
  • 1  – Troy

15) D-III – 4

  • 1  – Albion
  • 1  – Ashland
  • 1  – Missouri Western
  • 1  – Presbyterian

16) Independent – 4

  • 4 – Notre Dame
17)  Canada – 1
  • 1  – Regina

Your Nominees for Guy Most Likely to go all “Ryan Leaf” on you (in other words, to be drafted early only to flame-out even earlier):

  • Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
  • Tavon Wilson, S, Illinois
  • Shea McClellin, DE, Boise State
  • Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State
  • T.J. Graham, WR, North Carolina State

Your Nominees for Guy Most likely to go all “Terrell Davis”  on you (in other words,  to be an impact player despite being drafted late):

  • Cam Johnson, DT, Virginia
  • Brandon Washington, OG, Miami (FL)
  • Markelle Martin, S, Oklahoma State
  • Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State
  • Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska

Your Nominees for Guy Most likely to go all “Tom Brady”  on you (in other words, to be an impact player despite being a Compensatory Pick):

  • Brandon Mosley, OT, Auburn
  • B.J. Coleman, QB, Chattanooga
  • Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina
  • Juron Criner, WR, Arizona
  • Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State

Last guy rated in our Top 64 to be drafted:

  • Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State (rated as the 8th best OT, ranked #56 overall – drafted with the 34th pick in the 7th round, overall pick #241)

First guy not rated in our Top 30 at any position to be drafted:

  • Akiem Hicks, DE, Regina (Canada) – (drafted by the Saints with the 26th pick in the 3rd round, overall pick #89)

Team-by-Team Complete Draft Analysis

In a new feature in this year’s draft coverage, Dubsism has created it own statistic called Draft Quotient. While the exact details are proprietary, it is a means of rating a team’s performance in the draft based on comparing the players selected at which point in the draft compared to that player’s rankings in the draft with modifying factors for a team’s needs.  For example, the Colts had the first overall pick, Andrew Luck was the #1 quarterback on the board as well as the #1 player overall on the board. It was a no-brainer for the Colts to take Luck, which is why that pick receives a score of 1.00, denoting the “right” pick.  Any score between .80  and 1.20 is the “right” pick, a score higher than 1.20 is a “value-added” pick, meaning a team selected a player who was rated better that his position in the draft would have indicated, while a score under .80 indicates a “reach” pick.

In all honesty, this is really just an exercise is determining who read the tea leaves of conventional wisdom the best, since nobody has a crystal ball to see which of these players will actually pan out.  Then again, nobody will read retrospectives of drafts from five years ago either…

The following draft analysis are ranked in descending order in terms of the team’s overall draft quotient (based on an average of the DQ’s of individual draft picks).

1) Cincinnati Bengals – 2.24

  • Round 1, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 17, (From Oakland), Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama, 1.13
  • Round 1, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 27, (From New Orleans via New England), Kevin Zeitler, OG, Wisconsin, 0.36
  • Round 2, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 53, Devon Still, DT, Penn State, 5.89
  • Round 3, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 83, Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers, 6.92
  • Round 3, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 93, (From New England), Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson, 1.90
  • Round 4, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 116, Orson Charles, TE, Georgia, 1.53
  • Round 5, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 156, Shaun Prater, CB, Iowa, 1.44
  • Round 5, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 166, (From New England), Marvin Jones, WR, California, 0.91
  • Round 5, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 167, (From New York Giants), George Iloka, S ,Boise State, 0.95
  • Round 6, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 191, Dan Herron, RB, Ohio State, 1.40

The only negative in this draft for the Bengals is that they may have reached on Kevin Zeitler, but they needed offensive line help and this kid would not have been on the board they next time the Bengals were on the clock. But at every point after that, the Bengals score “value-added” picks.

2) Chicago Bears – 2.23

  • Round 1, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 19, Shea McClellin, DE, Boise State, 0.15
  • Round 2, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 45, (From Dallas via Chicago), Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina, 11.25
  • Round 3, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 79, Branson Hardin, S, Oregon State, 0.22
  • Round 4, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 111, Evan Rodriguez, FB, Temple, 0.54
  • Round 6, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 184, Isaiah Frey, CB, Nevada, 0.49
  • Round 7, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 220, Greg McCoy, CB, TCU, 0.76

Watching the Bears draft was like watching a dog trying to run on a tile floor. This whole draft will hinge on the success of Alshon Jeffery.  We knew he would drop in the draft, which was caused by various rumors and combine performances, which were all rejected by Dubsism. Jeffery has every shot to be a dominant receiver in the NFL, and if he does, he likely saves this draft for the Bears.

3) New England Patriots – 1.85

  • Round 1, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 21, (From Cincinnati), Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse 0.26
  • Round 1, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 25, (From Denver), Dont’a Hightower, ILB, Alabama, 0.84
  • Round 2, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 48, (From Oakland), Tavon Wilson, S, Illinois, 0.12
  • Round 3, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 90, (From Green Bay), Jake Bequette, DE, Arkansas, 0.99
  • Round 6, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 197, (From Green Bay), Nate Ebner, CB, Ohio State, 0.49
  • Round 7, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 224, (From New York Jets via Green Bay), Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska, 9.74
  • Round 7, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 235, (From New England), Jeremy Ebert, WR, Northwestern, 0.62

In what proves to be yet another typical Patriots’ draft, New England didn’t make a single pick which wasn’t traded, and they made what we consider to be three solid picks and five questionable ones. But then again, nobody has made more draft chicken salad out of draft chicken shit than the Patriots.

4) Philadelphia Eagles – 1.35

  • Round 1, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 12, (From Seattle), Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State, 0.71
  • Round 2, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 46, Mychal Kendricks, ILB, California, 0.28
  • Round 2, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 59, (From Green Bay), Vinny Curry, DE, Marshall, 0.84
  • Round 3, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 88, (From Houston), Nick Foles, QB, Arizona, 2.15
  • Round 4, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 123, (From Green Bay), Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia 1.50
  • Round 5, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 153, Dennis Kelly, OT, Purdue, 0.71
  • Round 6, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 194, (From Denver), Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa, 2.20
  • Round 6, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 200, (From New England), Brandon Washington, OG, Miami (FL), 3.64
  • Round 7, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 229, (From Atlanta), Bryce Brown, RB, Kansas State, 0.63

Other than the Kendricks pick, the Eagles played this draft to value and to meeting needs.

5) Green Bay Packers – 1.36

  • Round 1, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 28, Nick Perry, DE, USC, 1.04
  • Round 2, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 51, (From Arizona via Philadelphia), Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State, 0.88
  • Round 2, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 62, (From Green Bay), Casey Hayward, CB, Vanderbilt, 0.73
  • Round 4, Pick 37, Overall Pick # 132, (Compensatory Pick), Mike Daniels, DT, Iowa, 1.11
  • Round 4, Pick 38, Overall Pick # 133, (Compensatory Pick), Jerron McMillan, S, Maine, 0.35
  • Round 5, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 163, (From Green Bay via Patriots), Terrell Manning, OLB, North Carolina State, 1.11
  • Round 7, Pick 34, Overall Pick # 241, (Compensatory Pick), Andrew Datko, OT, Florida State 4.30

Another draft which lies in contrast to that of the Bears’ or the Patriots'; instead of a few bad picks and a few big risks, this draft is largely solid top to bottom.

6) Detroit Lions – 1.31

  • Round 1, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 23, Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa, 2.88
  • Round 2, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 54, Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma, 0.54
  • Round 3, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 85, Dwight Bentley, CB, Louisiana-Lafayette, 0.25
  • Round 4, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 125, (From San Francisco), Ronnell Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma, 2.78
  • Round 5, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 138, (From Minnesota), Tahir Whitehead, OLB,Temple, 0.55
  • Round 5, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 148, (From Oakland), Chris Greenwood, CB, Albion, 0.41
  • Round 6, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 196, (From New Orleans via Miami and San Francisco), Jonte Green, CB, New Mexico State, 0.51
  • Round 7, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 223, (From Philadelphia via New England and Minnesota), Travis Lewis OLB, Oklahoma, 2.56

7) Arizona Cardinals – 1.28

  • Round 1, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 13, Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame, 0.43
  • Round 3, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 80, Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma, 0.44
  • Round 4, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 112, Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi, 3.11
  • Round 5, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 151, Senio Kelemete, OG, Washington, 1.08
  • Round 6, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 177, (From Washington), Justin Bethel, CB, Presbyterian, 0.45
  • Round 6, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 185, Ryan Lindley, QB, San Diego State, 1.22
  • Round 7, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 221, Nate Potter, OT, Boise State, 2.26

Michael Floyd will prove to be yet another over-rated Notre Dame player.

8 ) Tennessee Titans – 1.28

  • Round 1, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 20, Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor, 0.54
  • Round 2, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 52, Zach Brown, ILB, North Carolina, 2.74
  • Round 3, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 82, Mike Martin, DT, Michigan, 0.52
  • Round 4, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 115, Cody Sensabaugh, CB, Clemson, 0.32
  • Round 5, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 145, (From Tennessee), Taylor Thompson, DE, SMU, 0.52
  • Round 6, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 190, Markelle Martin, S, Oklahoma State, 3.65
  • Round 7, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 211, (From Cleveland via Minnesota), Scott Solomon, DT, Rice, 0.67

9) Oakland Raiders – 1.26

  • Round 3, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 95, (Compensatory Pick), Tony Bergstrom, OT, Utah, 0.90
  • Round 4, Pick 34, Overall Pick # 129, (Compensatory Pick), Miles Burris, OLB, San Diego State, 0.32
  • Round 5, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 158, (From Detroit), Jack Crawford, DE, Penn State, 1.00
  • Round 5, Pick 33, Overall Pick # 168, (Compensatory Pick), Juron Criner, WR, Arizona, 3.50
  • Round 6, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 189, Christo Bilikudi DE, Georgia State, 0.45
  • Round 7 Pick 23 Overall Pick # 230 (From Detroit) Nathan Stupar ILB Penn State, 1.41

A surprisingly good draft for only having one pick in the first 125.

10) Pittsburgh Steelers – 1.24

  • Round 1, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 24, David DeCastro, OG, Stanford, 1.71
  • Round 2, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 56, Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State, 2.80
  • Round 3, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 86, Sean Spence, ILB, Miami (FL), 1.32
  • Round 4, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 109, (From Oakland via Washington), Alameda Ta’amu, DT, Washington, 1.76
  • Round 4, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 119, Keenan Robinson, OLB, Texas, 0.30
  • Round 5, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 159, Chris Rainey, WR, Florida, 0.52
  • Round 7, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 231, Toney Clemons, WR, Colorado, 0.56
  • Round 7, Pick 33, Overall Pick # 240, (Compensatory Pick), David Paulson, TE, Oregon, 1.36
  • Round 7, Pick 37, Overall Pick # 244, (Compensatory Pick), Jordan White, WR, Western Michigan, 1.76
  • Round 7, Pick 39, Overall Pick # 246, (Compensatory Pick), Terrence Frederick, CB, Texas A&M, 0.95
  • Round 7, Pick 41, Overall Pick # 248, (Compensatory Pick), Kelvin Beacham, OT, SMU 0.63

This might be the best draft in terms of meeting needs, especially with the two offensive linemen at the top.

11) San Francisco 49ers – 1.19

  • Round 1, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 30, A.J. Jenkins, WR, Illinois, 0.33
  • Round 2, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 61, LaMichael James, RB, Oregon, 1.30
  • Round 4, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 117, (From Detroit), Joe Looney OG, Wake Forest, 0.37
  • Round 5, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 165, Darius Fleming, OLB, Notre Dame, 0.69
  • Round 6, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 180, (From Carolina), Trenton Robinson, S, Michigan State, 1.59
  • Round 6, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 199, Jason Slowey OC, Western Oregon, 0.53
  • Round 7, Pick 30, Overall Pick # 237, Cam Johnson, DT, Virginia 3.54

Another draft which may be saved by a potentially great player taken late.

12) Miami Dolphins – 1.15

  • Round 1, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 8, Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M, 0.10
  • Round 2, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 42, Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford, 1.91
  • Round 3, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 72, Olivier Vernon, DE, Miami (FL), 0.49
  • Round 3, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 78, (From San Diego), Michael Egnew, TE, Missouri, 0.64
  • Round 4, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 97, (From Indianapolis via San Francisco), Lamar Miller, RB, Miami (FL), 2.55
  • Round 5, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 155, (From Tennessee), Josh Kaddu, OLB, Oregon, 0.69
  • Round 6, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 183, (From San Diego), B.J. Cunningham, WR, Michigan State, 0.69
  • Round 7, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 215, Kheeston Randall, DE, Texas, 2.56
  • Round 7, Pick 20, Overall Pick # 227, (From Tennessee), Rishard Matthews, WR, Nevada, 0.77

The entire story of this draft: Will Ryan Tannehill prove to be the worst pick? Probably…

13) Baltimore Ravens – 1.14

  • Round 2, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 35, (From Minnesota), Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama 3.18
  • Round 2, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 60, Kelechi Osemele, OG, Iowa State 1.40
  • Round 3, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 84, (From Atlanta), Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple 0.91
  • Round 4, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 98, (From Minnesota), Gino Gradkowski, OG, Delaware 0.26
  • Round 4, Pick 35, Overall Pick # 130, (Compensatory Pick), Christian Thompson, S, South Carolina State, 0.46
  • Round 5, Pick 34, Overall Pick # 169, (Compensatory Pick), Asa Jackson, CB, Cal Poly, 0.69
  • Round 6, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 198, Tommy Streeter, WR, Miami (FL), 1.06
  • Round 7, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 236, DeAngelo Tyson, DT, Georgia, 1.13

14) Atlanta Falcons – 1.11

  • Round 2, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 55, Peter Konz, OC, Wisconsin, 2.62
  • Round 3, Pick 28, Overall Pick # 91, (From Baltimore), Lamar Holmes, OT, Southern Miss, 0.28
  • Round 5, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 157, Bradie Ewing, FB, Wisconsin, 0.44
  • Round 5, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 164, (From Baltimore), Jonathan Massaquoi, DE, Troy, 1.84
  • Round 6, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 192, Charles Mitchell, S, Mississippi State, 0.69
  • Round 7, Pick 42, Overall Pick # 249, (Compensatory Pick), Travian Robertson, DE, South Carolina, 0.81

15) Minnesota Vikings – 1.09

  • Round 1, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 4, (From Cleveland), Matt Kalil, OT, USC, 2.00
  • Round 1, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 29, (From Baltimore), Harrison Smith, S, Notre Dame, 0.25
  • Round 3, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 66, Josh Robinson, CB, Central Florida, 0.46
  • Round 4, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 118, (From Atlanta via Cleveland), Jarius Wright, WR, Arkansas, 1.11
  • Round 4, Pick 33, Overall Pick # 128, (Compensatory Pick), Rhett Ellison, TE, USC, 0.83
  • Round 4, Pick 39, Overall Pick # 134, (Compensatory Pick), Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas, 0.56
  • Round 5, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 139, (From Cleveland), Robert Blanton, CB, Notre Dame, 0.65
  • Round 6, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 175, (From Cleveland), Blair Walsh, PK, Georgia, 0.60
  • Round 7, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 210, Audie Cole, ILB, North Carolina State, 2.73
  • Round 7, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 219, (From Seattle via Detroit), Trevor Guyton, DE, California 1.75

16) New York Giants – 1.06

  • Round 1, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 32, David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech, 0.63
  • Round 2, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 63, Reuben Randle, WR, LSU, 0.30
  • Round 3, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 94, Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech, 1.36
  • Round 4, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 127, Adrian Robinson, DE, Temple, 0.60
  • Round 4, Pick 36, Overall Pick # 131, (Compensatory Pick), Brandon Mosley, OT, Auburn, 2.08
  • Round 6, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 201, Matt McCants, OT, UAB, 1.83
  • Round 7, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 239, Markus Kuhn, DT, North Carolina State, 0.60

17) Houston Texans – 1.00

  • Round 1, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 26, Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois, 1.63
  • Round 3, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 68, (From Houston), DeVier Posey, WR, Ohio State, 0.35
  • Round 3, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 76, (From Philadelphia), Brandon Brooks, OG, Miami (OH), 0.49
  • Round 4, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 99, (From Tampa Bay via Philadelphia), Ben Jones, OC, Georgia, 1.65
  • Round 4, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 121, Kewshawn Martin, WR, Michigan State, 0.31
  • Round 4, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 126, (From New England via Denver and Tampa Bay), Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska, 2.33
  • Round 5, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 161, Randy Bullock, PK, Texas A&M, 0.79
  • Round 6, Pick 25 ,Overall Pick # 195,  Nick Mondek, OT, Purdue, 0.48

18) Indianapolis Colts – 1.00

  • Round 1, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 1, Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford, 1.00
  • Round 2, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 34, Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford, 0.60
  • Round 3, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 64, Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson 1.39
  • Round 3, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 92, (From San Francisco), T.Y. Hilton, WR, Florida International, 1.26
  • Round 5, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 136, Josh Chapman, DT, Alabama 2.13
  • Round 5, Pick 35, Overall Pick # 170, (Compensatory Pick), Vick Ballard, RB, Mississippi State, 1.18
  • Round 6, Pick 36, Overall Pick # 206, (Compensatory Pick), LaVon Brazil, WR, Ohio, 0.52
  • Round 7, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 208, Justin Anderson, OT, Georgia, 0.53
  • Round 7, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 214, (From Jacksonville via New York Jets), Tim Fugger, DE, Vanderbilt, 0.52
  • Round 7, Pick 46, Overall Pick # 253, (Compensatory Pick), Chandler Harnish, QB, Northern Illinois, 0.88

19) New York Jets – 1.00

  • Round 1, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 16, Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina, 0.67
  • Round 2, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 43, (From Seattle), Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech, 1.02
  • Round 3, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 77, Demario Davis, OLB, Arkansas State, 0.21
  • Round 6, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 187, (From Philadelphia via Indianapolis), Josh Bush, S, Wake Forest, 0.48
  • Round 6, Pick 32, Overall Pick # 202, (Compensatory Pick), Terrance Ganaway, RB, Baylor, 1.59
  • Round 6, Pick 33, Overall Pick # 203, (Compensatory Pick), Robert T. Griffin, OG, Baylor, 0.50
  • Round 7, Pick 35, Overall Pick # 242, (Compensatory Pick), Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina, 2.52

20) San Diego Chargers – 0.98

  • Round 1, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 18, Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina, 1.38
  • Round 2, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 49, Kendall Reyes, DE, Connecticut, 0.65
  • Round 3, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 73, (From Carolina via Chicago and Miami), Brandon Taylor, S, LSU, 0.54
  • Round 4, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 110, Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette, 1.18
  • Round 5, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 149, Johnnie Troutman, OG, Penn State, 0.39
  • Round 7, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 226, David Molk, OC, Michigan, 1.41
  • Round 7, Pick 43, Overall Pick # 250, (Compensatory Pick), Edwin Baker, RB, Michigan State, 1.30

21) Seattle Seahawks – 0.90

  • Round 1, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 15, (From Philadelphia), Bruce Irvin, DE, West Virginia, 0.38
  • Round 2, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 47, (From New York Jets), Bobby Wagner, OLB, Utah State, 0.69
  • Round 3, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 75, Russell Wilson, QB, Wisconsin, 0.35
  • Round 4, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 106, Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State, 3.31
  • Round 4, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 114, (From Philadelphia), Jaye Howard, DT, Florida, 1.07
  • Round 5, Pick 19, Overall Pick # 154, (From New York Jets), Korey Toomer, ILB, Idaho, 0.39
  • Round 6, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 172, (From Indianapolis via Philadelphia), Jeremy Lane, CB, Northwestern State, 0.45
  • Round 6, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 181, Winston Guy, S, Kentucky, 1.02
  • Round 7, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 225, (From Oakland), J.R. Sweezy, DE, North Carolina State, 0.75
  • Round 7, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 232, (From Denver via New York Jets), Greg Scruggs, DE, Louisville, 0.62

22) Cleveland Browns – 0.85

  • Round 1, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 3, (From Minnesota), Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama, 0.60
  • Round 1, Pick 22, Overall Pick # 22, (From Atlanta), Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State, 0.85
  • Round 2, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 37, Mitchell Schwartz, OT, California, 0.37
  • Round 3, Pick 24, Overall Pick # 87, (From Denver), John Hughes, DT, Cincinnati, 0.23
  • Round 4, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 100, Travis Benjamin, WR, Miami (FL), 0.24
  • Round 4, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 120, (From Denver), James-Michael Johnson, ILB, Nevada, 1.03
  • Round 5, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 160, (From Denver), Ryan Miller, OG, Colorado, 0.81
  • Round 6, Pick 34, Overall Pick # 204, (Compensatory Pick), Emmanuel Acho, OLB, Texas, 1.87
  • Round 6, Pick 35, Overall Pick # 205, (Compensatory Pick), Billy Winn, DT, Boise State, 0.58
  • Round 7, Pick 36, Overall Pick # 243, (Compensatory Pick), B.J. Coleman, QB, Chattanooga, 2.34
  • Round 7, Pick 38, Overall Pick # 245, (Compensatory Pick), Trevin Wade, CB, Arizona, 0.59
  • Round 7, Pick 40, Overall Pick # 247 ,(Compensatory Pick), Brad Smelley, TE ,Alabama, 0.69

23) Buffalo Bills – 0.80

  • Round 1, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 10, Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina, 0.19
  • Round 2, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 41, Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia, 0.62
  • Round 3, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 69, (From Washington), T.J. Graham, WR, North Carolina State, 0.17
  • Round 4, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 105, Nigel Bradham, OLB, Florida State, 0.80
  • Round 4, Pick 29, Overall Pick # 124, (From Baltimore), Ron Brooks, CB, LSU, 0.30
  • Round 5, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 144, Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State, 2.88
  • Round 5, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 147, (From Seattle), Tank Carder, OLB, TCU, 1.17
  • Round 6,  Pick 8, Overall Pick, # 178, Mark Asper, OG, Oregon, 0.45
  • Round 7,  Pick 44, Overall Pick # 251, (Compensatory Pick), John Potter, PK, Western Michigan, 0.65

24) New Orleans Saints – 0.78

  • Round 3, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 89, Akiem Hicks, DE, Regina (Canada), 0.25
  • Round 4, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 122, Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin, 1.53
  • Round 5, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 162, Corey White, S, Samford, 0.44
  • Round 6, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 179, (From Miami), Andrew Tiller, OG, Syracuse, 0.51
  • Round 7, Pick 27, Overall Pick # 234, Marcel Jones, OT, Nebraska, 1.17

25) Carolina Panthers – 0.63

  • Round 1, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 9, Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College, 0.50
  • Round 2, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 40, Amini Silatolu, OG, Midwestern State, 0.43
  • Round 4, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 103, (From Miami via San Francisco), Frank Alexander, OLB, Oklahoma, 0.42
  • Round 4, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 104, Joe Adams, WR, Arkansas, 0.72
  • Round 5, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 143, Josh Norman CB, Coastal Carolina, 0.95
  • Round 6, Pick 37, Overall Pick # 207, (Compensatory Pick), Brad Nortman, P, Wisconsin, 0.86
  • Round 7, Pick 9, Overall Pick # 216, D.J. Campbell, S, California, 0.50

26) Jacksonville Jaguars – 0.61

  • Round 1, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 5, (From Tampa Bay), Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State, 0.71
  • Round 2, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 38, Andre Branch, OLB, Clemson, 1.23
  • Round 3, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 70, Bryan Anger, P, California, 0.31
  • Round 5, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 142, Brandon Marshall, OLB, Nevada, 0.40
  • Round 6, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 176, Mike Harris, CB, Florida State, 0.44
  • Round 7, Pick 21, Overall Pick # 228, (From Cincinnati), Jeris Pendleton, DT, Ashland, 0.60

27) Washington Redskins – 0.61

  • Round 1, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 2, (From St. Louis), Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor, 0.67
  • Round 3, Pick 8, Overall Pick # 71, (From Buffalo), Josh LeRibeus, OG, SMU, 0.18
  • Round 4, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 102, Kirk Cousins, QB, Michigan State, 0.60
  • Round 5, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 141, Adam Gettis, OG, Iowa, 0.40
  • Round 6, Pick 3, Overall Pick # 173, (From Minnesota), Alfred Morris, RB, Florida Atlantic, 0.49
  • Round 6, Pick 23, Overall Pick # 193, (From Pittsburgh), Tom Compton, OT, South Dakota, 1.50
  • Round 7, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 213, Richard Crawford, CB, SMU, 0.50
  • Round 7, Pick 10, Overall Pick # 217, (From Buffalo), Jordan Bernsitine, CB, Iowa, 0.56

28) St Louis Rams – 0.60

  • Round 1, Pick 14, Overall Pick # 14, (From Dallas), Michael Brockers, DE, LSU, 0.50
  • Round 2, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 33, Brian Quick WR, Appalachian State, 0.16
  • Round 2, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 39, (From Washington), Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama, 1.11
  • Round 2, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 50, (From Chicago), Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati, 0.39
  • Round 3, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 65, Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana, 0.67
  • Round 4, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 96, Chris Givens, WR, Wake Forest, 0.81
  • Round 5, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 150, (From Chicago), Rokevious Watkins, OG, South Carolina, 0.60
  • Round 6, Pick 1, Overall Pick # 171, Greg Zuerlein, PK, Missouri Western, 0.46
  • Round 7, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 209, Aaron Brown, OLB, Hawaii, 0.60
  • Round 7, Pick 45, Overall Pick # 252, (Compensatory Pick), Daryl Richardson, RB, Abilene Christian, 0.69
Despite the coaching change in St. Louisi, the draft outcomes are still the same.

29) Denver Broncos – 0.58

  • Round 2, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 36, (From Tampa Bay), Derek Wolfe, DE, Cincinnati, 0.25
  • Round 2, Pick 25, Overall Pick # 57, Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State, 0.50
  • Round 3, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 67, (From Cleveland), Ronnie Hillman, RB, San Diego State, 0.49
  • Round 4, Pick 6, Overall Pick # 101, (From Jacksonville via Tampa Bay), Omar Bolden, CB, Arizona State, 0.60
  • Round 4, Pick 13, Overall Pick # 108, (From New York Jets), Philip Blake, OC, Baylor, 0.64
  • Round 5, Pick 2, Overall Pick # 137, (From St. Louis), Malik Jackson, DE, Tennessee, 1.00
  • Round 6, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 188, (From New York Jets), Danny Trevathan, OLB, Kentucky 0.61

30) Kansas City Chiefs – 0.58

  • Round 1, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 11, Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis, 0.33
  • Round 2, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 44, Jeff Allen, OT, Illinois, 0.30
  • Round 3, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 74, Donald Stephenson, OT, Oklahoma, 0.25
  • Round 4, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 107, Devon Wylie, WR, Fresno State, 0.29
  • Round 5, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 146, DeQuan Menzie, CB, Alabama, 0.39
  • Round 6, Pick 12, Overall Pick # 182, Cyrus Gray, RB, Texas A&M, 1.64
  • Round 7, Pick 11, Overall Pick # 218, Jerome Long, DT, San Diego State, 0.57
  • Round 7, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 238, (From New England), Junior Hemingway, WR, Michigan, 0.85
31) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 0.55
  • Round 1, Pick 7, Overall Pick # 7, (From Jacksonville), Mark Barron, S, Alabama, 0.28
  • Round 1, Pick 31, Overall Pick # 31, (From New England via Denver), Doug Martin, RB, Boise State, 0.43
  • Round 2, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 58, (From Houston), Lavonte David, OLB, Nebraska, 0.82
  • Round 5,  Pick 5, Overall Pick # 140, Najee Goode ILB, West Virginia, 0.35
  • Round 6, Pick 4, Overall Pick # 174, Keith Tandy, CB, West Virginia, 0.84
  • Round 7, Pick 5, Overall Pick # 212, Michael Smith, RB, Utah State, 0.53
  • Round 7, Pick 26, Overall Pick # 233, (From Houston), Drake Dunsmore, TE, Northwestern, 0.63
The early returns on the Schiano era aren’t looking good; this is the second year in a row the Buccaneers have finished in the bottom four in the Dubsism draft rankings.  So much for change.

32) Dallas Cowboys – 0.52

  • Round 1,  Pick 6,  Overall Pick # 6,  (From Washington via St. Louis),  Morris Claiborne, CB,  LSU,  1.00
  • Round 3, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 81, Tyrone Crawford, DE, Boise State, 0.36
  • Round 4, Pick 18, Overall Pick # 113, Kyle Wilber, OLB, Wake Forest, 0.44
  • Round 4, Pick 40, Overall Pick # 135, (Compensatory Pick), Matt Johnson, S, Eastern Washington, 0.34
  • Round 5, Pick 17, Overall Pick # 152, Danny Coale, WR, Virginia Tech, 0.42
  • Round 6, Pick 16, Overall Pick # 186, James Hanna, TE, Oklahoma, 0.49
  • Round 7, Pick 15, Overall Pick # 222, Caleb McSurdy, ILB, Montana, 0.61

Drafts like this are why the Cowboys haven’t won in 15 years.

What Your Team Needs To Do With It’s 2012 NFL Draft Pick

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. Everybody has a “mock draft or a “big draft board,” and we are no different…well, except we here at Dubsism are not interested in being the next Mel Kiper; we are more interested in making your team better rather than listening to ourselves blather on or getting some face time four our increasingly-odd pompadour.

In other words, we wholeheartedly reject the “Mel Kiper theory” which states you always draft the best player available. Sometimes, you are better off making a move to help your team. Be advised that as you peruse this list, “The Kiper Theory” is based on an aggregate of several mock drafts and Kiper’s own board. Then, we will give you the best available player according to the Dubsism Big Board. After that, we will give you the straight dope on what we believe your team really needs to do to best address its needs.  Be advised that we here at Dubsism really don’t care what Mel says, and we really don’t care that much about workouts, combines, and the silliness of those college “all-star ” games which are really just glorified scrimmages. Instead, we are all about realistic football solutions.

1) Indianapolis Colts

  • What the Kiper Theory Says:  Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
  • What Dubsism Believes: This is the biggest “no-brainer” in this draft. The Manning era in Indianapolis is over, and this is the Colts’ best opportunity to turn the page. It’s time to release Manning, draft Luck, and build for the future.

2) St. Louis Rams

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Matt Kalil, OT, USC
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Matt Kalil, OT, USC
  • What Dubsism Believes: There’s two ways to look at this pick. It’s never a bad investment to get a blue-chip lineman to protect your $50 million quarterback. But, with the addition of a honest-to-goodness deep threat at receiver, the Rams offense suddenly gets legitimate. The decision is to take Kalil with this pick or trade down and take Justin Blackmon or Alshon Jeffery a few picks later.

3) Minnesota Vikings

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
  • What Dubsism Believes: If Matt Kalil is still on the board at #3, the Vikings have to take him. They don’t need a quarterback or a running back; they need a way to keep quarterbacks and running backs from becoming lunch meat. If Kalil is already off the board, the Vikes need to seriously look at Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa. We have Riley as #6 overall pick; The Kiper conglomerate has him at #8. Trading down would be a good move, but if they can’t get any takers they need to just bite the bullet and get the best lineman on the board.

4) Cleveland Browns 

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believes:  There’s a good chance Robert Griffin III is still on the board here; and I think we all know the Colt McCoy experiment is over.  Either trade up to make sure you get him as there’s a gap down to the next available quarterback, or trade down and address other needs. We also don’t buy the “slow” rap getting hung on Alshon Jeffery. This guy is going to be a dominant receiver in this league, but he won’t help the Browns until they get a quarterback.

5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bucs can’t go wrong with either of these picks. Josh Freeman needs weapons to work with to make the Tampa offense more than na automated 3-and-out machine.

6) Washington Redskins

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believes: This is the first opportunity we have to be dismissive of all the “Where will Peyton Manning go?” scenarios. We do so because it is the considered opinion of the staff here at Dubsism that Manning is not going to play again. Therefore, we are discounting the effect of his presence from our projections. The Redskins take Claiborne with this pick.

7) Jacksonville Jaguars

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
  • What Dubsism Believes: We can’t see the Jaguars taking a wide receiver here. They are unsure of their young quarterback who is in desperate need of protection. The only thing they have is a running game, and a lineman helps that too. They take Riley Reiff if he is still available.

8 or 9) Carolina Panthers (coin flip to be determined at the NFL Combines)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
  • What Dubsism Believes: Look for the Panthers to invest in defense, particularly in big D-lineman like Coples to get after the Brees and Ryans the Panthers get to face in the NFC South

8 or 9) Miami Dolphins (coin flip to be determined at the NFL Combines)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Michael Brockers, DE, LSU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Devon Still, DT, Penn State
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Dolphins just hired an offensive coordinator as head coach, but there’s a void of offensive talent at this spot in the draft.  Couple that with the fact new head coach Joe Philbin said he wants to convert his defense to a 4-3.  The Dolphins will take Brockers at this spot since they need a pass-rusher to book-end with Cameron Wake.

10) Buffalo Bills

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Vontaze Burfict, ILB, Arizona State
  • What Dubsism Believes: Head Coach Chan Gailey has recently been on the record about his team’s inability to get to the quarterback, and it’s easy to understand why. No one on the team finished with more than 5.5 sacks on the year.  Melvin Ingram is currently the top pass-rusher available at this spot in the wake of his dominant Senior Bowl practices, and the “buyer beware” attitude toward Quinton Coples if he is still around.

11 or 12) Kansas City Chiefs (coin flip to be determined at the NFL Combines)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: Martin meets a bigger need as the Chiefs offensive line might as well be the Maginot Line.

11 or 12) Seattle Seahawks: (coin flip to be determined at the NFL Combines)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers
  • What Dubsism Believes: Nothing this team does matters unless it gets a quarterback or offensive lineman to aid the only weapon they have in Marshawn Lynch.  They are fools if they don’t trade this pick to get something they need.

13) Arizona Cardinals

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Devon Still, DT, Penn State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Cardinals thought they shored up their inside linebacker problems when they signed Stewart Bradley to a 5-year, $25 million contract with $10 million guaranteed this offseason. Since then, Bradley has barely played, so he could be a cap casualty this offseason. Arizona’s search for a worthy player to pair with Daryl Washington likely ends here with Luke Kuechly.

14) Dallas Cowboys

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: David DeCastro, G, Stanford
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: David DeCastro, G, Stanford
  • What Dubsism Believes: There nothing quite like when all the stars align, and in the Lone Star state. The Cowboys have massive challenges on the interior of the offensive line. Derrick Dockery is a free agent after missing most of 2011 with a knee injury. Phil Costa flat out sucks. The best thing you can say about  Montrae Holland is he isn’t Costa.  Meanwhile, DeCastro is one of the top interior linemen prospects to come along in years, and he’s the highest-ranked O-Line prospect on the board at this point.

15) Philadelphia Eagles

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: DeSean Jackson is one his way out of the City of Brotherly Love, and he has nobody to blame for that but himself; he dropped too many passes and dogged it most of the time. But he had a strong finish to the 2011 season, which prompted Andy Reid to praise him during the Week 17 post-game press conference.  Of course, that’s all puffery for a tag-and-trade scheme; Jackson is as gone as yesterday’s lunch.  Welcome to the Kendall Wright era in Philadelphia.

16) New York Jets

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Cordy Glenn, G, Georgia
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Jets need to improve their pass rush so Rex Ryan doesn’t have to call blitzes every single freaking down. This situation got even more desperate when OLB Bryan Thomas tore his Achilles tendon. Mercilus makes a perfect fit for the Jets’ needs.

17) Cincinnati Bengals (pick from Oakland Raiders)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
  • What Dubsism Believes: On one hand, I can’t understand why anybody thinks Alshon Jeffery will still be on the board at this pick. The whole world is looking for the next “Calvin Johnson,” and Jeffery looks every bit the part.  God help NFL secondaries should they have to face an A.J. Green/Jeffery tandem. On the other hand, I know why Dre Kirkpatrick will still be available here; his arrest for marijuana possession. I really couldn’t care less about that, but I do wonder about the brain capacity of a guy getting busted who knows he’s going to have to pee in a cup next month.  Some teams will remove Kirkpatrick from their board completely, but I think we all know the Bengals have a far more “tolerant” view of criminal behavior. This is why they are the only NFL team which has a bail bondsman on staff.  The bottom line is that cornerback is a blazing need for the Bengals. Nate Clements turns 32 in December, has been inconsistent, and is a free agent after 2012. To literally and injury to insult, Leon Hall won’t be ready to play next season because of his torn Achilles tendon. Kirkpatrick becomes a Bengal.

18) San Diego Chargers

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Chargers have a desperate need at safety; so much so they turned to the walking organ bank known as Bob Sanders last season with predictable results.  This is why you can expect the Chargers to make a slight reach for Alabama safety Mark Barron.

19) Chicago Bears

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Zach Brown, ILB, North Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bears are totally telegraphing this pick, and the address they are sending to is only two hours east of Soldier Field. Jay Cutler was at his best when he had a big-time target in Brandon Marshall. Notre Dame WR Michael Floyd has some of the biggest potential of any player on the board, and the Bears have told the whole would they will target a wide receiver this offseason.

20) Tennessee Titans

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
  • What Dubsism Believes: Mike Munchak is the new head coach of the Titans. Mike Munchak has criticized the play of his offensive line. Mike Munchak is also a Hall-of-Fame offensive lineman. Mike Munchak drafts Mike Adams.

21) Cincinnati Bengals

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bengals have this goofy philosophy in which they target certain positions to be drafted per round. The Bengals have one the best best run blocking offensive lines in all of the NFL. Sadly, this is like putting a hubcap on a tractor because that great bunch of road-graders has nobody worthy of clearing a path for. Cedric Benson is incredibly mediocre, and he’ll be a 29-year-old free agent in March anyway. This is why we are convinced the Bengals will use this pick to take either Chris Polk, RB, Washington or Lamar Miller, RB, Miami (FL).
22) Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta Falcons)
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Jeral Worthy, DT, Michigan State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
  • What Dubsism Believes: This is the wild-card pick of the entire first round. If the Browns make a deal to move up to get Robert Griffin III, there’s no telling who will own this pick by the time it is made. If the Browns retain this pick, there’s no telling what they will do with it; they will have some kinky options at this point.  OT Mike Adams could be available as a bookend to Joe Thomas. Nick Perry will likely be around to play pass-rush counterpart to Jabaal Sheard.  Alfonzo Dennard might still be available to give the Browns a corner to tandem with Joe Haden. At this point, there might even be wild options like Alshon Jeffery, Fletcher Cox, or Zach Brown.  Not to belabor the obvious, but this is why we dismissed the whole “Manning” thing in the first place…too many variables.

23) Detroit Lions

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Zach Brown, ILB, North Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Lions have one big-time need…a left tackle to protect Matt Stafford. They get even more desperate considering eff Backus will be a free agent in March. They either need to trade up to get one of the guys who won’t be around at this pick, or trade down and live with one of the second-round guys.

24) Pittsburgh Steelers

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Steelers have a long tradition of taking the usually take the top player on the board, and since they love defense, it is hard to imagine Quinton Coples wouldn’t be on their list. Trouble is he likely won’t be available at this point.  USC DE Nick Perry looks like the most likely suspect at this point.

25) Denver Broncos

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Vontaze Burfict, ILB, Arizona State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Mark Barron, S, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: Brodrick Bunkley had a great year as a run-stuffer, but the Broncos don’t really have anything next to him. As long as the Broncos are going to rely on the run game, they need more help on the offensive line. This is where they trade down and stock up on big guys up front, with the outside possibility they take Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin who likely will still be available.

26) Houston Texans

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State
  • What Dubsism Believes: Aside from Arian Foster, the main cylinders in the engine that is the Texans offense are showing some wear. This is why the Texans want to draft a receiver in the first round, but at this point they may be praying Alshon Jeffery slips down this far, or that the Bears don’t reach on Michael Floyd. An alternative to trading up or down may be to take Brandon Weeden as a QB of the future, or to take Wisconsin C Peter Konz (if he is still available) as an insurance policy against losing C Chris Myers in free-agency.

27) New England Patriots (from New Orleans Saints)

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Nick Perry, DE, USC
  • What Dubsism Believes: Both Mercilus and Perry would be good fits with the Patriots. They can both play defensive end in the 4-3 and rush linebacker 3-4, filling both needs in those schemes. They also are of the size Bill Belichick likes his rush linebackers to be.  If neither of these guys is available, don’t be shocked to see the Patriots either take Alabama ILB Dont’a Hightower or trade this pick.

28) Green Bay Packers

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Mark Barron, S, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Michael Brockers, DE, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believes: No matter what, it is obvious the Packers need to steer this pick toward defense. They have no real offensive needs other than a running back, but it’s clear this team needs major help on the defensive side of the ball. The Packers a linebacker to go with Clay Matthews because the rest of the Packer linebacker corps were  ineffective. Either way, the Packers would love to see USC DE Nick Perry slip this far, but if that doesn’t happen expect them to grab Brockers (if available)or Alabama ILB Dont’a Hightower.

29) Baltimore Ravens

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami (FL)
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Chris Polk, RB, Washington
  • What Dubsism Believes: There’s no way the Ravens take a running back in the first round.  In news that should surprise no one, the Ravens have made it clear RB Ray Rice is not hitting the free agent market this off-season either through a long-term extension or the dreaded franchise tag. Not to mention, General Manager Ozzie Newsome has made it known he would like to get Ray Lewis’ successor in this draft.  This si where “wild-card” Arizona State ILB Vontaze Burfict makes a lot of sense. We consider Burfict to be the best on-the-field inside linebacker in the draft, but his tendency to be a “head case” means a slide down through the first round is entirely possible. If he drops this far, he’s a perfect fit attitude-wise for the Ravens defense, he can play next to Lewis right away, and Ozzie Newsome has a track record of taking on talented head cases.

30) San Francisco 49ers

  • What the Kiper Theory Says:  Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
  • What Dubsism Believes: Here’s an interesting pick. The 49ers aren’t likely to take another offensive lineman in the first round, and we don’t think Michael Floyd will be around at this pick. Not to mention, Floyd and his off-field DUI issues don’t seem like a good fit on a Jim Harbaugh which already has primadonnas in Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis. Despite that, they do need help at wide receiver, and a running back to spell the impending end of the Frank Gore era wouldn’t be a bad idea either. If for some reason Alshon Jeffery slides this far, he doesn’t get past San Francisco. Baylor WR Kendall is another guy whose stock is fluctuating already, so he becomes another possiblity. Otherwise, trading down to the early-to-mid 2nd round could mean extra picks to take Georgia Tech WR Stephen Hill and our sleeper pick of the draft, Utah State RB Robert Turbin.

31) New England Patriots

  • What the Kiper Theory Says:  Dont’a Hightower, ILB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Andre Branch, OLB, Clemson
  • What Dubsism Believes: We are willing to bet the Patriots already grabbed their linebacker with the pick they got from the Saints. Their other huge need on defense is at corner, especially since they have ideas about using either Ras-I Dowling or Devin McCourty at safety, which may become a neccesity considering their weakness at the position and the lack of big-time safeties in this draft. This is why we think  Nebraska CB Alfonzo Dennard proves too hard to pass up at this pick.

32) New York Giants

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State
  • What Dubsism Believes: Turbin is our sleeper pick of the draft. We think this guy is rated as a 4th-round pick simply because he comes from the backwater of college football and he doesn’t have eye-popping workout numbers. We think this guy has every shot to be another Ray Rice.  I’m not sure you need to grab this guy at this pick, but somebody else out there is going to get wise to this guy between now and draft day.

- Dubsism is a proud member of the Sports Blog Movement

The Dubsism “Anti-Kiper” 2012 NFL Draft Board

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. So, while you are spending today erasing that fog in your head made of far too much cheap beer and delivery pizza, take a few moments to look forward so that your team can give itself a better shot to be where the Giants find themselves today.

Everybody has a NFL Draft “Big Board.” But unlike the ones you  get from the “professionals” at ESPN, we here at Dubsism offer a draft board based on the fact we actually have watched college football at some point in our lifetimes. This means we don’t care about how much we love to hear our own bloviation, there isn’t another blog out there taking shots at us yet (so we don’t have that whole “Mel Kiper/Todd McShay thing happening), and we aren’t worried about how much face time our increasingly oddly-shaped pompadour gets.

Rather, we would rather put out rookie  draft “shopping list” that we feel is our best effort to help you, the NFL fan who knows almost nothing about college football beyond Andrew Luck. We also won’t give you any flowery summaries of these players; there’s eight billion other sites doing that. Our model is you peruse the lists, both overall and by position, and decide which of these guys may help plug the numerous holes your favorite team has. However, we don’t bother with kickers and punters, largely because they are literally a “dime-a-dozen” and if you think a kicker is all that separates your team from a Super Bowl, you likely need a psychiatrist more than a draft board.

After the Super Bowl, we will revisit this list with some advice on what your sorry-ass team needs to do in order to improve itself, and this board will play a large part in that counsel. The one thing I would caution you against is that we here at Dubsism are firm believers in the “Mike Mamula” rule; meaning we don’t put much stock in the witchcraft that are the NFL Combines, so don’t expect this board to change significantly.

The Top Overall “Yes You Do Need Me, You Better Draft Me” 64:

  1. Andrew Luck QB Stanford
  2. Matt Kalil OT USC
  3. Robert Griffin III QB Baylor
  4. Alshon Jeffery WR South Carolina
  5. Trent Richardson RB Alabama
  6. Morris Claiborne CB LSU
  7. Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State
  8. Riley Reiff OT Iowa
  9. Devon Still DT Penn State
  10. Vontaze Burfict ILB Arizona State
  11. Courtney Upshaw OLB Alabama
  12. Mohamed Sanu WR Rutgers
  13. Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina
  14. David DeCastro G Stanford
  15. Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
  16. Whitney Mercilus OLB Illinois
  17. Fletcher Cox DT Mississippi St
  18. Luke Kuechly ILB Boston College
  19. Zach Brown ILB North Carolina
  20. Mike Adams OT Ohio State
  21. Peter Konz C Wisconsin
  22. Jonathan Martin OT Stanford
  23. Alfonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
  24. Quinton Coples DE North Carolina
  25. Mark Barron S Alabama
  26. Brandon Weeden QB Oklahoma State
  27. Nick Perry DE USC
  28. Michael Brockers DE LSU
  29. Chris Polk RB Washington
  30. Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame
  31. Andre Branch OLB Clemson
  32. Robert Turbin RB Utah State
  33. Dontari Poe DT Memphis
  34. Dont’a Hightower ILB Alabama
  35. Janoris Jenkins CB North Alabama
  36. Bobby Massie OT Mississippi
  37. Kendall Wright WR Baylor
  38. Lamar Miller RB Miami (FL)
  39. Levy Adcock OT Oklahoma State
  40. Bruce Irvin DE West Virginia
  41. Nick Foles QB Arizona
  42. Stephen Hill WR Georgia Tech
  43. Kelechi Osemele G Iowa State
  44. Chase Minnifield CB Virginia
  45. Ronnell Lewis OLB Oklahoma
  46. Dwayne Allen TE Clemson
  47. LaMichael James RB Oregon
  48. Juron Criner WR Arizona
  49. Brandon Thompson DT Clemson
  50. Zebrie Sanders OT Florida State
  51. David Wilson RB Virginia Tech
  52. Markelle Martin S Oklahoma State
  53. Stephon Gilmore CB South Carolina
  54. Jared Crick DE Nebraska
  55. Brandon Washington G Miami (FL)
  56. Andrew Datko OT Florida State
  57. Coby Fleener TE Stanford
  58. Jerel Worthy DT Michigan State
  59. Dwight Jones WR North Carolina
  60. Ben Jones C Georgia
  61. Coryell Judie CB Texas A&M
  62. Alameda Ta’amu DT Washington
  63. Brandon Mosley OT Auburn
  64. Josh Chapman DT Alabama

The Top 15 By Position:

Quarterbacks

  1. Andrew Luck QB Stanford
  2. Robert Griffin III QB Baylor
  3. Brandon Weeden QB Oklahoma State
  4. Nick Foles QB Arizona
  5. Ryan Tannehill QB Texas A&M
  6. B.J. Coleman QB Chattanooga
  7. Brock Osweiler QB Arizona State
  8. Kellen Moore QB Boise State
  9. Ryan Lindley QB San Diego State
  10. Kirk Cousins QB Michigan State
  11. Jacory Harris QB Miami (FL)
  12. Russell Wilson QB Wisconsin
  13. G.J. Kinne QB Tulsa
  14. Patrick Witt QB Yale
  15. Dominique Davis QB East Carolina

Running Backs

  1. Trent Richardson RB Alabama
  2. Chris Polk RB Washington
  3. Robert Turbin RB Utah State
  4. Lamar Miller RB Miami (FL)
  5. LaMichael James RB Oregon
  6. David Wilson RB Virginia Tech
  7. Doug Martin RB Boise State
  8. Bernard Pierce RB Temple
  9. Cyrus Gray RB Texas A&M
  10. Terrance Ganaway RB Baylor
  11. Isaiah Pead RB Cincinnati
  12. Dan Herron RB Ohio State
  13. Ronnie Hillman RB San Diego State
  14. Vick Ballard RB Mississippi State
  15. Tauren Poole RB Tennessee

Wide Receivers

  1. Alshon Jeffery WR South Carolina
  2. Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State
  3. Mohamed Sanu WR Rutgers
  4. Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame
  5. Kendall Wright WR Baylor
  6. Stephen Hill WR Georgia Tech
  7. Juron Criner WR Arizona
  8. Dwight Jones WR North Carolina
  9. T.Y. Hilton WR Florida Int’l
  10. Nick Toon WR Wisconsin
  11. Marvin McNutt WR Iowa
  12. A.J. Jenkins WR Illinois
  13. Ryan Broyles WR Oklahoma
  14. Jeff Fuller WR Texas A&M
  15. Jarius Wright WR Arkansas

Tight Ends

  1. Dwayne Allen TE Clemson
  2. Coby Fleener TE Stanford
  3. Orson Charles TE Georgia
  4. Ladarius Green TE Louisiana-Lafayette
  5. Michael Egnew TE Missouri
  6. Brian Linthicum TE Michigan State
  7. Rhett Ellison TE USC
  8. Kevin Koger TE Michigan
  9. David Paulson TE Oregon
  10. George Bryan TE North Carolina State
  11. Josh Chichester TE Louisville
  12. Deangelo Peterson TE LSU
  13. Anthony Miller TE California
  14. Beau Reliford TE Florida State
  15. Nick Provo TE Syracuse

Offensive Tackles

  1. Matt Kalil OT USC
  2. Riley Reiff OT Iowa
  3. Mike Adams OT Ohio State
  4. Jonathan Martin OT Stanford
  5. Bobby Massie OT Mississippi
  6. Levy Adcock OT Oklahoma State
  7. Zebrie Sanders OT Florida State
  8. Andrew Datko OT Florida State
  9. Brandon Mosley OT Auburn
  10. Nate Potter OT Boise State
  11. Mitchell Schwartz OT California
  12. Tony Bergstrom OT Utah
  13. Matt McCants OT UAB
  14. Landon Walker OT Clemson
  15. Tom Compton OT South Dakota

Interior Offensive Lineman

  1. David DeCastro G Stanford
  2. Peter Konz C Wisconsin
  3. Kelechi Osemele G Iowa State
  4. Brandon Washington G Miami (FL)
  5. Ben Jones C Georgia
  6. Cordy Glenn G Georgia
  7. Kevin Zeitler G Wisconsin
  8. William Vlachos C Alabama
  9. Amini Silatolu G Midwestern State
  10. James Brown G Troy
  11. Quinton Saulsberry C Mississippi State
  12. Senio Kelemete G Washington
  13. Brandon Brooks G Miami (OH)
  14. David Molk C Michigan
  15. Lucas Nix G Pittsburgh

Defensive Tackles

  1. Devon Still DT Penn State
  2. Fletcher Cox DT Mississippi St
  3. Dontari Poe DT Memphis
  4. Brandon Thompson DT Clemson
  5. Jerel Worthy DT Michigan State
  6. Alameda Ta’amu DT Washington
  7. Josh Chapman DT Alabama
  8. Cam Johnson DT Virginia
  9. Marcus Forston DT Miami (FL)
  10. Hebron Fangupo DT BYU
  11. Jaye Howard DT Florida
  12. Mike Daniels DT Iowa
  13. Brett Roy DT Nevada
  14. Mike Martin DT Michigan
  15. Nicolas Jean-Baptiste DT Baylor

Defensive Ends

  1. Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina
  2. Quinton Coples DE North Carolina
  3. Nick Perry DE USC
  4. Michael Brockers DE LSU
  5. Bruce Irvin DE West Virginia
  6. Jared Crick DE Nebraska
  7. Vinny Curry DE Marshall
  8. Kendall Reyes DE Connecticut
  9. Chandler Jones DE Syracuse
  10. Kheeston Randall DE Texas
  11. Jonathan Massaquoi DE Troy
  12. Jake Bequette DE Arkansas
  13. Billy Winn DE Boise State
  14. Matt Conrath DE Virginia
  15. Trevor Guyton DE California

Outside Linebackers

  1. Courtney Upshaw OLB Alabama
  2. Whitney Mercilus OLB Illinois
  3. Andre Branch OLB Clemson
  4. Ronnell Lewis OLB Oklahoma
  5. Bobby Wagner OLB Utah State
  6. Lavonte David OLB Nebraska
  7. Travis Lewis OLB Oklahoma
  8. Brandon Lindsey OLB Pittsburgh
  9. Emmanuel Acho OLB Texas
  10. Keenan Robinson OLB Texas
  11. Tank Carder OLB TCU
  12. Nigel Bradham OLB Florida State
  13. Tyler Nielsen OLB Iowa
  14. Julian Miller OLB West Virginia
  15. Josh Kaddu OLB Oregon

Inside Linebackers

  1. Vontaze Burfict ILB Arizona State
  2. Luke Kuechly ILB Boston College
  3. Zach Brown ILB North Carolina
  4. Dont’a Hightower ILB Alabama
  5. Sean Spence ILB Miami (FL)
  6. Audie Cole ILB North Carolina State
  7. James-Michael Johnson ILB Nevada
  8. Terrell Manning ILB North Carolina State
  9. Mychal Kendricks ILB California
  10. Nathan Stupar ILB Penn State
  11. Chris Galippo ILB USC
  12. Jerry Franklin ILB Arkansas
  13. Max Gruder ILB Pittsburgh
  14. Adrien Cole ILB Louisiana Tech
  15. D.J. Holt ILB California

Cornerbacks

  1. Morris Claiborne CB LSU
  2. Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama
  3. Alfonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
  4. Janoris Jenkins CB North Alabama
  5. Chase Minnifield CB Virginia
  6. Stephon Gilmore CB South Carolina
  7. Coryell Judie CB Texas A&M
  8. Jayron Hosley CB Virginia Tech
  9. Brandon Boykin CB Georgia
  10. Casey Hayward CB Vanderbilt
  11. Trumaine Johnson CB Montana
  12. Shaun Prater CB Iowa
  13. Leonard Johnson CB Iowa State
  14. Josh Robinson CB Central Florida
  15. Josh Norman CB Coastal Carolina

Safeties

  1. Mark Barron S Alabama
  2. Markelle Martin S Oklahoma State
  3. Aaron Henry S Wisconsin
  4. Antonio Allen S South Carolina
  5. Trenton Robinson S Michigan State
  6. Harrison Smith S Notre Dame
  7. Brandon Taylor S LSU
  8. Eddie Whitley S Virginia Tech
  9. George Iloka S Boise State
  10. Winston Guy S Kentucky
  11. Tysyn Hartman S Kansas State
  12. Duke Ihenacho S San Jose State
  13. D’Anton Lynn S Penn State
  14. Janzen Jackson S McNeese State
  15. Kelcie McCray S Arkansas State

The Dubsism Comprehensive NFL Draft Review – What We Told Them vs. What They Did

Things to Remember:

  • References to the “Kiper Theory” are ironically based on our Dubsism Anti-Kiper NFL Draft Board.
  • We refused to change our board based on hype, workouts, or Todd McShay. As the only draft prognosticator who actually watches college football earlier than December, we based our rankings on something simple: the guy we thought would be the best NFL player. We covered as to why we reject conventional wisdom in our Team-by-Team warning about the NFL Draft.
  • The more Mel Kiper disagrees with us, the more we believe we are right.  At the same time, we have undying respect for a guy we also think is a complete fraud. Kiper never stands behind things he says unless he happened to be right, and he changes his mind constantly in the run up to the draft. On the other hand, how can you not respect a guy who has made a whole career and millions of dollars out of saying “Trev Alberts sucks?”

Things We Got Right:

Guys we had in the First Round who were actually drafted in the First Round:

  • Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn (Dubsism rank #1, Drafted #13 Overall by Detroit)
  • Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU (Dubsism rank #3, Drafted #5 Overall by Arizona)
  • A.J. Green, WR Georgia (Dubsism rank #4, Drafted #4 Overall by Cincinnati)
  • Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska (Dubsism rank #5, Drafted #19 Overall by New York Giants)
  • Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri (Dubsism rank #6, Drafted #7 Overall by San Francisco)
  • Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue (Dubsism rank #7, Drafted #16 Overall by Washington)
  • Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin (Dubsism rank #8, Drafted #29 Overall by Chicago)
  • Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama (Dubsism rank #9, Drafted #3 by Buffalo)
  • Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State (Dubsism rank #10, Drafted #32 Overall by Green Bay)
  • Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple (Dubsism rank #11, Drafted #30 by New York Jets)
  • Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M  (Dubsism rank #12, Drafted #2 Overall by Denver)
  • Julio Jones, WR,  Alabama (Dubsism rank #15, Drafted #6 Overall by Atlanta)
  • Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa (Dubsism rank #16, Drafted #20 Overall by Tampa Bay)
  • Nate Solder, OT,  Colorado (Dubsism rank #17, Drafted #17 Overall by New England)
  • Cameron Jordan, DE, California (Dubsism rank #18, Drafted #24 Overall by New Orleans)
  • Tyron Smith, OT, USC (Dubsism rank #19, Drafted #9 Overall by Dallas)
  • Mike Pouncey, C, Florida (Dubsism rank #20, Drafted #15 Overall by Miami)
  • Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina (Dubsism rank #22,  Drafted #14 Overall by St. Louis)
  • Jake Locker, QB, Washington (Dubsism rank #23, Drafted #8 Overall by Tennessee)
  • J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin (Dubsism rank #24, Drafted #11 Overall by Houston)
  • Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College (Dubsism rank #25, Drafted #22 Overall by Indianapolis)
  • Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama (Dubsism rank #26, Drafted #28 Overall by New Orleans)
  • Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State (Dubsism rank #27, Drafted #31 Overall by Pittsburgh)
  • Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois (Dubsism rank #28, Drafted #18 Overall by San Diego)
  • Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri (Dubsism rank #30, Drafted #10 Overall by Jacksonville)

Things We Got Wrong:

Guys we had in the First Round who were not drafted in the First Round:

  • Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson (Dubsism rank #2, Drafted #51st Overall by Tampa Bay)
  • Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State (Dubsism rank #13, Drafted #53rd Overall by Chicago)
  • Rahim Moore, S, UCLA (Dubsism rank #14, Drafted #45th Overall by Denver)
  • Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA (Dubsism rank #21, Drafted #39th Overall by Tennessee )
  • Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame (Dubsism rank # 29, Drafted #43rd Overall by Minnesota)
  • Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia (Dubsism rank #31, Drafted #70 Overall by Kansas City)
  • Allen Bailey, DE, Miami FL (Dubsism rank #32, Drafted #86th Overall by Kansas City)

Guys we did not have in the First Round who were in fact drafted in the First Round:

  • Cam Newton, QB, Auburn (Dubsism rank #55, Ranked as the #5 quarterback prospect, Drafted #1 Overall)
  • Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State (Not Ranked in the Dubsism Top 64, Ranked as the #12 Quarterback prospect, Drafted #12 Overall by Minnesota)
  • Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor (Not Ranked in the Dubsism Top 64, Ranked as the #10 Defensive Tackle prospect, Drafted #21 Overall by Cleveland)
  • Danny Watkins, G, Baylor (Not Ranked in the Dubsism Top 64, Ranked as the #15 Offensive Tackle prospect, Drafted #23 Overall by Philadelphia)
  • James Carpenter, OT, Alabama (Not Ranked in the Dubsism Top 64, Not Ranked as an Offensive Tackle prospect, Drafted #25 Overall by Seattle)
  • Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh (Dubsism rank #45, Ranked #3 wide receiver prospect, Drafted #26 Overall by Kansas City)

Guys We Rated in our Top 64 who were not drafted:

  • Matt Reynolds, OT, BYU (Ranked #38 overall, ranked #6 offensive tackle prospect) – decided to return for his senior year after the original draft board was published
  • Jared Crick, DT, Nebraska (Ranked #39 overall, ranked #7 defensive tackle prospect) – decided to return for his senior year after the original draft board was published
  • Jerrod Johnson, QB, Texas A&M (Ranked #48 overall, ranked #4 quaterback prospect) – running a 4.75 40-yard dash at the combine will help you not get drafted
  • John Clay, RB, Wisconsin (Ranked #60 overall, ranked #7 running back prospect) – coming off injuries and running a 4.83…you do the math.

Stats and Kinky Facts:

  • 254 Total Picks
  • 27 Compensatory picks
  • 96 Picks were traded

Picks by Position:

  • CB – 39
  • WR – 28
  • RB – 27
  • OLB – 26
  • DE – 22
  • OT – 20
  • DT – 20
  • OG – 18
  • S – 14
  • QB – 12
  • E – 12
  • ILB – 8
  • FB – 3
  • C – 3
  • K – 1
  • P – 1

 Picks by Conference/League  and School:

1) SEC – 38

  • 6 – Georgia
  • 6 – LSU
  • 5 – Alabama
  • 4 – Auburn
  • 4 – Florida
  • 4 – Mississippi State
  • 3 – Arkansas
  • 2 – South Carolina
  • 2 – Tennessee
  • 1 –  Kentucky
  • 1 –  Mississippi

2) ACC – 35

  • 9 – North Carolina
  • 8 – Miami (FL)
  • 6 – Clemson
  • 3 – Florida State
  • 3 – Virginia Tech
  • 2 – Maryland
  • 1 – Boston College
  • 1 – Georgia Tech
  • 1 – North Carolina State
  • 1 – Virginia

3) Pac-10 – 31

  • 10 – USC
  • 4 – Stanford
  • 3 – Arizona
  • 3 – California
  • 3 – Oregon State
  • 3 – UCLA
  • 2 – Washington
  • 1 – Arizona State
  • 1 – Oregon
  • 1 – Washington State

4) Big 12 – 30

  • 7 – Nebraska
  • 4 – Baylor
  • 4 – Colorado
  • 4 – Oklahoma
  • 4 – Texas
  • 3 – Missouri
  • 1 – Kansas State
  • 1 – Oklahoma State
  • 1 – Texas A&M
  • 1 – Texas Tech

5) Big Ten – 29

  • 6 – Iowa
  • 5 – Ohio State
  • 5 – Wisconsin
  • 4 – Illinois
  • 2 – Indiana
  • 2 – Michigan
  • 2 – Michigan State
  • 2 – Penn State
  • 1 – Purdue

6) Big East – 22

  • 5 – Pittsburgh
  • 4 – Connecticut
  • 4 – West Virginia
  • 3 – Louisville
  • 3 – South Florida
  • 2 – Syracuse
  • 1 – Cincinnati

7) WAC – 18

  • 3 – Boise State
  • 3 – Hawaii
  • 3 – Idaho
  • 3 – Nevada
  • 2 – Fresno State
  • 2 – San Diego State
  • 1 – New Mexico State
  • 1 – Utah State

8 ) FCS (The league formerly known as I-AA) - 15

  • 3 – Appalachian State
  • 1 – Citadel
  • 1 – Florida A&M
  • 1 – Hampton
  • 1 – Lehigh
  • 1 – Missouri State
  • 1 – Montana
  • 1 – Montana State
  • 1 – Richmond
  • 1 – Southern Illinois
  • 1 – Stephen F. Austin
  • 1 – Villanova
  • 1 – Yale

9) D-II – 10

  • 1 – Abilene Christian
  • 1 – Alabama A&M
  • 1 – Califfornia (PA)
  • 1 – Central Arkansas
  • 1 – Eastern Washington
  • 1 – Portland State
  • 1 – Slippery Rock
  • 1 – South Carolina State
  • 1 – Tennessee-Chattanooga
  • 1 – West Texas A&M

10) MWC – 8

  • 5 – TCU
  • 2 – Utah
  • 1 – Wyoming

11) Sun Belt – 5

  • 1 – Arkansas State
  • 1 – Florida Atlantic
  • 1 – Florida International
  • 1 – Middle Tennessee State
  • 1 – Troy

12) MAC – 4

  • 2 – Temple
  • 1 – Buffalo
  • 1 – Marshall

13) D-III – 2

  • 1 – Bethel (TN)
  • 1 – Mount Union

 14) Independent – 1

  • 1 – Notre Dame

Your Nominees for Guy Most Likely to go all “Ryan Leaf” on you (in other words, to be drafted early only to flame-out even earlier):

  • Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
  • Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State
  • James Carpenter, OT, Alabama
  • Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh
  • Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame

Your Nominees for Guy Most likely to go all “Terrell Davis”  on you (in other words to be an impact player despite being drafted late):

  • Jeremy Kerley, WR, TCU
  • Quan Sturdivant, ILB, North Carolina
  • Jerrell Powe, DT, Mississippi
  • Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburgh
  • Lee Ziemba, OT, Auburn

Your Nominees for Guy Most likely to go all “Tom Brady”  on you (in other words, to be an impact player despite being a Compensatory Pick):

  • Jamie Harper, RB, Clemson
  • Davon House, CB, New Mexico State
  • Pernell McPhee, DE, Mississippi State
  • Tyler Sash, S, Iowa

Last guy rated in our Top 64 to be drafted:

  • Lee Ziemba, OT, Auburn (#63 overall, ranked #7 offensive tackle prospect, drafted with 41st pick in the 7th round, the 244th overall pick)

First guy not rated in our Top 15 at any position to be drafted:

  • James Carpenter, OT, Alabama (#25 overall)

The First Round, Pick by Pick

1) Carolina Panthers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
  • What Dubsism Believed: Trade Down
  • What They Did: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

2) Denver Broncos

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
  • What Dubsism Believed: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
  • What They Did: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M

3) Buffalo Bills

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believed: A.J. Green, WR Georgia
  • What They Did: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama

4) Cincinnati Bengals

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: A.J. Green, WR Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believed: Trade Down
  • What They Did: A.J. Green, WR Georgia

5) Arizona Cardinals

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
  • What Dubsism Believed: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
  • What They Did: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

6) Cleveland Browns (pick traded to Atlanta Falcons)

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri
  • What Dubsism Believed: Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson or Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri
  • What They Did: Traded 6th pick to Atlanta in return for Atlanta’s 2011 1st round pick (27th overall), Atlanta’s 2011 2nd and 4th round picks, as well as Atlanta’s 2012 1st and 4th round picks. Atlanta used this 6th pick to take Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

7)  San Francisco 49ers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
  • What Dubsism Believed: Make a Trade
  • What They Did: Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri

8 ) Tennessee Titans

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
  • What Dubsism Believed: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
  • What They Did: Jake Locker, QB, Washington

9) Dallas Cowboys

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believed: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
  • What They Did: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

10) Washington Redskins (pick traded to Jacksonville)

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
  • What Dubsism Believes: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama
  • What They Did:  Traded 10th pick to Jacksonville in return for Jacksonville’s 2011 1st round pick (16th overall), Jacksonville’s 2011 2nd round pick (49th overall) Jacksonville used this 10th pick to take Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri.

11) Houston Texans

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
  • What Dubsism Believed: Cameron Jordan, DE, California
  • What They Did: J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin

12) Minnesota Vikings

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M
  • What Dubsism Believed: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State or Make a Trade
  • What They Did: Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State

13) Detroit Lions

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State
  • What Dubsism Believed: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M or Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State
  • What They Did: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

14) St. Louis Rams

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
  • What Dubsism Believed: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
  • What They Did: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina

15) Miami Dolphins

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Julio Jones, WR,  Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believed: Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
  • What They Did: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida

16) Jacksonville Jaguars

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
  • What Dubsism Believed: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado
  • What They Did: Traded up to get Washington’s 2011 1st round pick (10th overall). As part of that deal, Washington used this 16th pick to take Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

17) New England Patriots (pick from Oakland Raiders)

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Nate Solder, OT,  Colorado
  • What Dubsism Believed: Trade Up
  • What They Did: Nate Solder, OT,  Colorado

18) San Diego Chargers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Cameron Jordan, DE, California
  • What Dubsism Beleived: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
  • What They Did: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

19) New York Giants

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Tyron Smith, OT, USC
  • What Dubsism Believed: Tyron Smith, OT, USC
  • What They Did: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida
  • What Dubsism Believed: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida
  • What They Did: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

21) Kansas City Chiefs (pick traded to Cleveland Browns)

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
  • What Dubsism Believed: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
  • What They Did: Traded down to the 27th overall pick that Cleveland acquired in a deal with Atlanta. Cleveland used this 21st pick to select Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

22) Indianapolis Colts

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believed: Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama or Make a Trade
  • What They Did: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

23) Philadelphia Eagles

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Jake Locker, QB, Washington
  • What Dubsism Believed: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
  • What They Did: Danny Watkins, G, Baylor

24) New Orleans Saints

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: J.J. Watt, DE,  Wisconsin
  • What Dubsism Believed: Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia
  • What They Did: Cameron Jordan, DE, California

25) Seattle Seahawks

  • What the Kiper Theory Said Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
  • What Dubsism Believed: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
  • What They Did: James Carpenter, OT, Alabama

26) Baltimore Ravens

  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believed: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State
  • What They Did: Passed – time ran out and Kansas City picked, then Baltimore made their selection – seems there was a mix up on a trade proposal. Eventually, they took Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado with what is actually the 27th overall pick

27) Atlanta Falcons

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State
  • What Dubsism Believed: Allen Bailey, DE, Miami (FL)
  • What They Did: Traded up to get Cleveland’s 2011 1st round pick (6th overall). As part of that deal, Cleveland used this pick to trade up to Kansas City’s pick at 21 – Kansas City Used this Pick to take Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh with what is actually the 26th overall pick – See Above.

28) New England Patriots

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
  • What Dubsism Believed: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
  • What They Did: Traded down to get the New Orleans Saints 2011 2nd round pick and 2012 first round pick. Saints used this 28th  pick to take Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

29) Chicago Bears

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame
  • What Dubsism Believed: Matt Reynolds, OT, BYU
  • What They Did: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

30) New York Jets

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
  • What Dubsism Believed: Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina
  • What They Did: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple

31) Pittsburgh Steelers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believed: Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame
  • What They Did: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

32) Green Bay Packers

  • What the Kiper Theory Said: Allen Bailey, DE, Miami FL
  • What Dubsism Believed: JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin
  • What They Did: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

Team-by-Team Complete Draft Analysis

1) Arizona Cardinals

  • Round 1:  Pick 5, Overall Pick #5 – Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
  • Round 2: Pick 6,  Overall Pick #38 – Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech
  • Round 3: Pick 5, Overall Pick #69 – Rob Housler, TE, Florida Atlantic
  • Round 4: Pick 6, Overall Pick #103 – Sam Acho, DE, Texas
  • Round 5: Pick 5, Overall Pick #136 – Anthony Sherman, RB, Connecticut
  • Round 6: Pick 6, Overall Pick #171 –  Quan Sturdivant, ILB, North Carolina
  • Round 6: Pick 19, Overall Pick #184 (From Tampa Bay via Philadelphia) – David Carter, DT, UCLA
  • Round 7:  Pick 46, Overall Pick #249 (Compensatory Selection) – Demarco Sampson, WR,  San Diego State

Overall Draft Grade:  B

You had to make the Peterson move if you were the Cardinals. They originally coveted Prince Amukamara, but his stock fell during the process, and they never expected Peterson would be around at the 5th pick.  Peterson was always a far superior player at the position than Amukamara (although Peterson’s future may be as a safety), so it was a no-brainer to take him. Peterson along with Quan Sturdivant means going across the middle just became as interesting for opposing receivers as a root canal with no anesthetic.

2) Atlanta Falcons

  • Round 1:  Pick 6, Overall Pick #6 (From Cleveland) – Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
  • Round 3:  Pick 27, Overall Pick #91 – Akeem Dent, ILB, Georgia
  • Round 5: Pick 14, Overall Pick #145 (From St. Louis) – Jacquizz Rodgers, RB,  Oregon State
  • Round 6: Pick 27, Overall Pick #192 – Matt Bosher, P,  Miami (FL)
  • Round 7: Pick 7, Overall Pick #210 (From Detroit) – Andrew Jackson, OG, Fresno State
  • Round 7: Pick 27, Overall Pick #230 (From New England) – Cliff Matthews, DE, South Carolina

Overall Draft Grade:  C-

Watching the Falcons draft was like watching a dog trying to run on a tile floor. They did a lot of moving, expended a ton of energy, and ultimately didn’t get very far. Granted, they did get a top-level specimen in Julio Jones, but one has to wonder if the Browns laid a bit of a “lube and shaft” job on them for the 6th overall pick; don’t forget Cleveland got Atlanta’s 2011 1st round pick (27th overall), Atlanta’s 2011 2nd and 4th round picks, as well as Atlanta’s 2012 1st and 4th round picks. It’s pretty clear the Falcons think they are just one piece away; they are just a step shy of having mortgaged their future.

3) Baltimore Ravens

  • Round 1:  Pick 27, Overall Pick #27 – Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
  • Round 2: Pick 26, Overall Pick #58 – Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland
  • Round 3: Pick 21, Overall Pick #85  (From Philadelphia) – Jah Reid, OT, Central Florida
  • Round 4: Pick 26, Overall Pick #123 – Tandon Doss, WR, Indiana
  • Round 5: Pick 33, Overall Pick #164 (Compensatory Selection) – Chykie Brown, CB, Texas
  • Round 5: Pick 34, Overall Pick # 165 (Compensatory Selection) – Pernell McPhee, DE, Mississippi State
  • Round 6: Pick 15, Overall Pick #180 (From St. Louis) – Tyrod Taylor, QB, Virginia Tech
  • Round 7: Pick 22, Overall Pick # 225 (From Philadelphia) – Anthony Allen, RB, Georgia Tech

Overall Draft Grade:  C

I can make an argument for liking this draft; I can make an argument for not liking it. Actually, its like the “buffet plate” draft; there’s a little something for everybody – there’s a couple of pretty good receivers for the passing game (which is in desperate need of them), there’s a couple of corners for the defense, there’s some help for the ends of both lines, and whatever Tyrod Taylor turns out to be. I could have possibly rated this draft a wee bit higher, but the “Russian Judge” in me feels the needs to dueduct a few style points for the mix-up which allowed the Chiefs to jump in front of them.

4) Buffalo Bills

  • Round 1: Pick 3, Overall Pick #3 – Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama
  • Round 2: Pick 2, Overall Pick #34 – Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
  • Round 3: Pick 4, Overall Pick #68 – Kelvin Sheppard, OLB, LSU
  • Round 4: Pick 3, Overall Pick #100 – Da’Norris Searcy, CB, North Carolina
  • Round 4: Pick 25, Overall Pick #122 (From Seattle) – Chris Hairston, OT, Clemson
  • Round 5: Pick 2, Overall Pick #133 – Johnny White, RB, North Carolina
  • Round 6: Pick 4, Overall Pick #169 – Chris White, ILB, Mississippi State
  • Round 7: Pick 3, Overall Pick #206 – Justin Rogers, CB, Richmond
  • Round 7: Pick 42, Overall Pick #245 (Compensatory Selection) – Micheal Jasper, OG, Bethel (TN)

Overall Draft Grade: C

The Bills likely wanted a D-lineman in this spot once they knew they weren’t getting Cam Newton. Dareus is an incredible prospect who is a monster against both the pass and the run. There’s a reason why divisional rivals Miami and New England spent first-round picks on offensive lineman. Williams should be about as good as you would expect a corner can be in a league that isn’t rule-friendly to them. To me the most interesting pick is Kelvin Sheppard; it’s like a whispered admission that Aaron Maybin isn’t what they thought he was.

5) Carolina Panthers

  • Round 1: Pick 1, Overall Pick #1 – Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
  • Round 3: Pick 1, Overall Pick #65 – Terrell McClain, DT, South Florida
  • Round 3:  Pick 33, Overall Pick #97 –  Sione Fua, DT, Stanford
  • Round 4: Pick 1, Overall Pick #98 – Brandon Hogan, CB, West Virginia
  • Round 5: Pick 1, Overall Pick #132 – Kealoha Pilares, WR, Hawaii
  • Round 6: Pick 1, Overall Pick #166 – Lawrence Wilson, OLB, Connecticut
  • Round 6: Pick 38, Overall Pick #203 (Compensatory Selection) – Zack Williams, OG, Washington State
  • Round 7: Pick 41, Overall Pick #244 (Compensatory Selection) –  Lee Ziemba, OT, Auburn

Overall Draft Grade: D-

Somebody had to swallow the hype, turn a blind eye, and just fling the dice and pray. Why shouldn’t it be the team with really the least to lose? It’s not like they can get worse from this decision? If you hadn’t been paying attention in the last quarter-century and still doubt this is now a quarterback-driven league, this pick now means that quarterbacks hae been taken with the 1st overall pick 11 times in the last 14 drafts. Having said that, this is where we put our cards on the table about Cam Newton. We simply do not believe he will be an effective NFL quarterback. There’s a reason why we rated him as low on our board as we did, and we here at Dubsism stand by that call. By definition, we think Carolina is taking an unacceptable level of risk with this pick.  Have all the love affairs you want with so-called “running quarterbacks,” at some point you will have no choice but to accept the reality of what happens to them in the NFL. Other than that, there is barley enough talent in the rest of this draft so it can’t called a complete failure.

6) Chicago Bears

  • Round 1: Pick 29, Overall Pick #29 – Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
  • Round 2: Pick 21, Overall Pick #53 (From Indianapolis via Washington),  Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State
  • Round 3: Pick 29, Overall Pick #93 – Chris Conte, S, USC
  • Round 5: Pick 29, Overall Pick #160 – Nathan Enderle, QB, Idaho
  • Round 6: Pick 30, Overall Pick #195 – J.T. Thomas, OLB, West Virginia

Overall Draft Grade: A-

If you saw the shit-hammering Jay Cutler took all season long, you know the Bears’ had no choice but  upgrade the offensive line. Plus, the same line that got Cutler nearly killed also knocked Todd Collins into retirement. The addition of a monster to the defensive line like Paea to complement Julius Peppers means the NFC North is now officially going to be a graveyard for quarterbacks.

7) Cincinnati Bengals

  • Round 1: Pick 4, Overall Pick #4 – A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
  • Round 2: Pick 3, Overall Pick #35 –  Andy Dalton, QB, TCU
  • Round 3: Pick 2, Overall Pick #66 – Dontay Moch, OLB, Nevada
  • Round 4: Pick 4, Overall Pick #101- Clint Boling, OG, Georgia
  • Round 5: Pick 3, Overall Pick #134 –  Robert Sands, S, West Virginia
  • Round 6: Pick 2, Overall Pick #167 – Ryan Whalen, WR,  Stanford
  • Round 7: Pick 4, Overall Pick #207 – Korey Lindsay, CB, Southern Illinois
  • Round 7: Pick 43, Overall Pick #246 (Compensatory Selection) – Jay Finley, RB, Baylor

Overall Draft Grade: B-

If you were the Bengals, you had three options. First was to get a quarterback for the future, as it is clear the Carson Palmer fantasy isn’t going to happen, so it would seem Blake Gabbert was the pick here.  If Marvin Lewis is serious about going to a run-first offense, then the Bengals need depth at running back and on the offensive line; again, there was nobody in those categories worthy of a #4 overall pick. Finally, the Bengals could have chosen to build on what was a massively disappointing defense; trading down would have netted Cincinnati solid players at reduced prices as this draft is stocked with defensive talent.

But no, the Bengals decided to draft a wide receiver knowing they didn’t yet have a quarterback. Was it just me, or did A.J. Green look less than happy to get the call from what may arguably one of the worst franchises not only in the NFL, but in all of professional sports. In his defense, I would not be happy about getting a four-year sentence in Cincinnati either. The trouble is that this draft certainly gives the impression the Bengals may not be able to solve all the problems they have, but they at least know which ones they can deal with today.

8 ) Cleveland Browns

  • Round 1: Pick 21, Overall Pick #21 (From Kansas City) – Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor
  • Round 2: Pick 5, Overall Pick #37, Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh
  • Round 2: Pick 27, Overall Pick #59 (From Atlanta) – Greg Little, WR, North Carolina
  • Round 4: Pick 5, Overall Pick #102 – Jordan Cameron, TE ,USC
  • Round 4: Pick 27, Overall Pick #124 (From Atlanta) – Owen Marecic, RB, Stanford
  • Round 5: Pick 6, Overall Pick #137 – Buster Skrine, CB, Tennessee-Chattanooga
  • Round 5: Pick 19, Overall Pick #150 (From New York Giants via Minnesota) -Jason Pinkston, OT, Pittsburgh
  • Round 7: Pick 45, Overall Pick #248 (Compensatory Selection) – Eric Hagg CB Nebraska

Overall Draft Grade: C

There is no team that really gave itself a better chance to help itself more in this draft than the Browns did. The cavalcade of trades they engineered all began when their downstate rivals in Cincinnati swiped the player the Browns had been coveting. With A.J. Green off the board, Plan B was to go with a defensive lineman, but it seems Cleveland was as leery as anybody else about Da’Quan Bowers’ knee. This was when the Browns started working the phones.

The first deal saw them trade the 6th overall pick to Atlanta in return for Atlanta’s 2011 1st round pick (27th overall), Atlanta’s 2011 2nd and 4th round picks, as well as Atlanta’s 2012 1st and 4th round picks. Then, the Browns trade the first round pick they got from Atlanta along with their 3rd round pick to Kansas City to trade up to the Chiefs 1st round pick (21st overall). The net result is from trading down, The Browns got two extra pick this year, and two extra picks next year.

The overall grade would have been even higher except the trade-up to take Phil Taylor seems like a reach. Taking Jabaal Sheard at #37 was certainly a reach. Plus, the Browns didn’t address their glaring need, which was the complete absence of a pass rush.

9) Dallas Cowboys

  • Round 1: Pick 9, Overall Pick #9 – Tyron Smith, OT, USC
  • Round 2: Pick 8, Overall Pick #40 – Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina
  • Round 3: Pick 7, Overall Pick #71 – DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma
  • Round 4: Pick 13, Overall Pick #110 – David Arkin, OG, Missouri State
  • Round 5: Pick 12, Overall Pick #143 – Josh Thomas, CB, Buffalo
  • Round 6: Pick 1, Overall Pick #176 – Dwayne Harris, WR, East Carolina
  • Round 7: Pick 17, Overall Pick #220 (From San Diego) – Shaun Chapas, FB, Georgia
  • Round 7: Pick 49,  Overall Pick #252 (Compensatory Selection)-  Bill Nagy, C, Wisconsin

Overall Draft Grade: B

Along with the Broncos’, this is a draft class stocked with raw talent. Not only that, but this group seems to be a good fit with the existing talent, and the model we’ve seen from this franchise in the past. Carter is an athletic linebacker who can help on both pass rush and pass coverage, Murray can grow into a role on the Cowboys “running back by committee approach,” Dwayne Harris could prove to be another guy for the role of “Miles Austin-type” receiver, and Shaun Chapas could be another “Moose Johnston.” Having said that, the trouble is that the Cowboys defense was atrocious last year, and I’m hoping their plan is to address that in free agency, but in a draft so stocked with talent on the defensive side of the ball, one has to wonder about the overall approach.

10) Denver Broncos

  • Round 1: Pick 2, Overall Pick #2 – Von Miller, OLB ,Texas A&M
  • Round 2: Pick 13, Overall Pick #45 (From San Francisco) – Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
  • Round 2: Pick 14, Overall Pick #46 (From Miami) – Orlando Franklin, OG, Miami (FL)
  • Round 3: Pick 3, Overall Pick #67 – Nate Irving, ILB ,North Carolina State
  • Round 4: Pick 11, Overall Pick #108 – (From San Francisco) – Quinton Carter, S, Oklahoma
  • Round 4: Pick 32, Overall Pick #129 (From Green Bay) – Julius Thomas, TE, Portland State
  • Round 6: Pick 24, Overall Pick #189 (From New Orleans via New England) – Mike Mohamed, ILB, California
  • Round 7: Pick 1, Overall Pick #204 (From Carolina via Green Bay) – Virgil Green, TE, Nevada
  • Round 7: Pick 44, Overall Pick #247 (Compensatory Selection) – Jeremy Beal, OLB, Oklahoma

Overall Draft Grade: A

Assuming Elvis Dumervil returns from his torn pectoral injury, Miller give the Broncos the cliche “bookends” at the edge pass-rusher slot.  But I also think that’s really all Von Miller can do, unlike the linebacker the Broncos drafted in the first round last year who can also play quarterback. But based on what we know today, this class may be one the richest top-to-bottom in terms of raw talent.

11) Detroit Lions

  • Round 1: Pick 13, Overall Pick #13 – Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
  • Round 2: Pick 12, Overall Pick #44 – Titus Young WR Boise State
  • Round 2: Pick 25, Overall Pick #57 (From Seattle) – Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois
  • Round 5: Pick 26, Overall Pick #157 (From Baltimore via Seattle) – Douglas Hogue, OLB, Syracuse
  • Round 7: Pick 6, Overall Pick #209 (From Cleveland via Seattle) – Johnny Culbreath, OT,  South Carolina State

Overall Draft Grade:

Happy Birthday, Jay Cutler. On the day before your special day, one of your divisional rivals literally ensured that at least twice next year, you will have a legitimate chance to be killed on the field. One of the good things the Lions have is Ndamukong Suh, and the Lions built around what may be the most dominant defensive lineman since Alan Page. Now that they’ve added Fairley to that defensive line, they get a lineman to play bookend with Suh, which is just one of many reasons why being a quarterback in the NFC may not be so fun for a while.  Plus, the bruising running style of Leshoure could make for and interesting “thunder and lightning” combination with Jahvid Best.

12) Green Bay Packers

  • Round 1: Pick 32, Overall Pick #32 – Derek Sherrod OT Mississippi State
  • Round 2: Pick 32, Overall Pick #64 –  Randall Cobb WR Kentucky
  • Round 3: Pick 32, Overall Pick #96 – Alex Green, RB, Hawaii
  • Round 4: Pick 34 Overall Pick #131 (Compensatory Selection) – Davon House, CB, New Mexico State
  • Round 5: Pick 10, Overall Pick #141 (From San Francisco via Denver) – D.J. Williams, TE, Arkansas
  • Round 6: Pick 14, Overall Pick #179 (From Miami) – Caleb Schlauderaff, OG, Utah
  • Round 6: Pick 21, Overall Pick #186 (From Philadelphia via Detroit and Denver) – D.J. Smith, OLB, Appalachian State
  • Round 6: Pick 32, Overall Pick #197 – Ricky Elmore, DE, Arizona
  • Round 7: Pick 15, Overall Pick #218 (From Jacksonville via Miami) – Ryan Taylor, TE, North Carolina
  • Round 7: Pick 30, Overall Pick #233 Lawrence Guy, DT, Arizona State

Overall Draft Grade: B

What I totally get – drafting an offensive lineman at the top. If you look at what the Lions and Bears added, it is clear that the team who keep their quarterback alive longest wins this division (except Minnesota, who now teeters on irrelevancy). What I don’t get – getting a running back, and more help on the offensive front. Running back is a thin spot for this team, and we all know how a respectable running game can help slow a pass rush.

13) Houston Texans

  • Round 1: Pick 11, Overall Pick #11 – J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin
  • Round 2: Pick 10, Overall Pick #42 – Brooks Reed, DE, Arizona
  • Round 2: Pick 28, Overall Pick #60 (From New England) – Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (FL)
  • Round 4: Pick 30, Overall Pick #127 (From Chicago via Washington) – Rashad Carmicheal, CB, Virginia Tech
  • Round 5: Pick 13, Overall Pick #144 (From Washington) – Shiloh Keo, CB, Idaho
  • Round 5: Pick 21, Overall Pick #152 (From Indianapolis via Washington) -Taylor Yates, QB, North Carolina
  • Round 7: Pick 11, Overall Pick #214 – Derek Newton, OT, Arkansas State
  • Round 7: Pick 51, Overall Pick #254 (Compensatory Selection) – Cheta Ozougwu, DE, Rice

Overall Draft Grade: A

The Texans are now set at D-tackle, and Watt gives them another “bookend” combination at defensive end to go with #1 overall pick Mario Williams.  Watt is a versatile defensive linemen that should excel; he’s explosive against the run and the pass, Watt has that cliche “motor that just won’t quit,”  check out the accolades on this guy:

  • Lott IMPACT Trophy for nation’s top defensive player on and off the field (2010)
  • Second-team All-American (2010)
  • All-Big Ten (2010)
  • All-Big Ten honorable mention (2009)
  • Wisconsin Team MVP (2010);
  • Finalist for Bednarik and Hendricks Awards (2010)

Watt  delivered 21 tackles for a loss in 2010, including seven sacks, and the Texans sorely need more run-stoppers; plus, the Lott award and his Academic All-American status suggests both intelligence and high character.

14) Indianapolis Colts

  • Round 1: Pick 22, Overall Pick #22 –  Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
  • Round 2: Pick 17, Overall Pick #49 (From Jacksonville via Washington) – Ben Ijalana, OG, Villanova
  • Round 3: Pick 23, Overall Pick #87 – Drake Nevis, DT, LSU
  • Round 4: Pick 22, Overall Pick #119 – Delone Carter, RB, Syracuse
  • Round 6: Pick 23, Overall Pick #188 – Chris Rucker, CB, Michigan State

Overall Draft Grade: A-

The need for the Colts to establish a running game was made apparent this past season; Peyton Manning simply cannot carry this team by himself any longer. This means the Colts needed a running back and/or some offensive lineman.

15) Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Round 1:  Pick 10, Overall Pick #10 (From Washington) – Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
  • Round 3: Pick 12, Overall Pick #76 (From San Francisco) – Will Rackley, OG, Lehigh
  • Round 4: Pick 17, Overall Pick #114 – Cecil Shorts, WR, Mount Union
  • Round 4: Pick 24, Overall Pick #121 (From New Orleans) – Chris Prosinski, S, Wyoming
  • Round 5: Pick 16, Overall Pick #147 – Rod Isaac, CB, Middle Tennessee State

Overall Draft Grade:  C-

This draft all comes down to Gabbert; he’s the only guy in this mix that is likely to become a difference maker.

16) Kansas City Chiefs

  • Round 1: Pick 26, Overall Pick # 26 (From Atlanta via Cleveland) Jonathan Baldwin WR Pittsburgh
  • Round 2 Pick 23 Overall Pick # 55 Rodney Hudson C Florida State
  • Round 3 Pick 6 Overall Pick # 70 (From Cleveland) Justin Houston OLB Georgia
  • Round 3 Pick 22 Overall Pick # 86 Allen Bailey DE Miami (FL)
  • Round 4 Pick 21 Overall Pick # 118 Jalil Brown CB Colorado
  • Round 5 Pick 4 Overall Pick # 135 (From Denver via Tampa Bay) Ricky Stanzi QB Iowa
  • Round 5 Pick 9 Overall Pick # 140 (From Detroit) Gabe Miller OLB Oregon State
  • Round 6 Pick 34 Overall Pick # 199 (Compensatory Selection) Jerrell Powe DT Mississippi
  • Round 7 Pick 20 Overall Pick # 223 Shane Bannon RB Yale

Overall Draft Grade:

The Chiefs are largely a young team, except along the offensive line which has a 10-year and a 15-year veteran. That was partially addressed. Another issue which was exposed in the playoff drubbing at the hands of the Ravens the the toughness of the Chiefs…this is why to me the most interesting guy in this group to me is Allen Bailey. Though he is somewhat undersized for the defensive line, Bailey features tremendous strength, speed, and athleticism. He also comes from in Georgia called Hog Hammock where he is rumored to have once killed an alligator with a shovel. How can you not love that kind of killer instinct in a defensive lineman?

17) Miami Dolphins

  • Round 1: Pick 15, Overall Pick #15 – Mike Pouncey, C, Florida
  • Round 2: Pick 30, Overall Pick #62 (From Chicago via Washington) – Daniel Thomas, RB, Kansas State
  • Round 4: Pick 14, Overall Pick #111 – Edmond Gates,  WR, Abilene Christian
  • Round 6: Pick 9, Overall Pick #174 (From Green Bay via San Francisco) – Charles Clay, FB, Tulsa
  • Round 7: Pick 28, Overall Pick #231 (From New York Jets via Detroit, San Francisco, and Green Bay) – Frank Kearse, DT, Alabama A&M
  • Round 7: Pick 32, Overall Pick # 235 (Compensatory Selection) – Jimmy Wilson, CB, Montana

Overall Draft Grade: B

The Dolphins seem to be following the old Shula model with offensive lineman  – those teams featured guys like Larry Little, Jim Langer, Bob Kuechenberg, etc…This team now has first-round linemen in Jake Long and Mike Pouncey. With the Bills adding Marcel Dareus, it’s no accident the Dolphins looked to add some heft on the offensive front.

18) Minnesota Vikings

  • Round 1: Pick 12, Overall Pick #12 – Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State
  • Round 2: Pick 11, Overall Pick #43 – Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame
  • Round 4: Pick 9, Overall Pick #106 – Christian Ballard, DT, Iowa
  • Round 5: Pick 8, Overall Pick #139 – Brandon Burton, CB, Utah
  • Round 6: Pick 3, Overall Pick #168 (From Denver via Cleveland) – DeMarcus Love, OT, Arkansas
  • Round 6: Pick 5, Overall Pick #170 (From Cleveland) – Mistral Raymond, S, South Florida
  • Round 6: Pick 7, Overall Pick #172 – Brandon Fusco, OG,  Slippery Rock
  • Round 6: Pick 35, Overall Pick #200 (Compensatory Selection) – Ross Homan, OLB, Ohio State
  • Round 7: Pick 12, Overall Pick #215 – D’Aundre Reed, DE, Arizona
  • Round 7: Pick 33 Overall Pick #236 (Compensatory Selection) – Stephen Burton, WR,  West Texas A&M

Overall Draft Grade: F

Ponder is a reach, plain and simple. The Vikings panicked when the two quarterbacks they coveted left the board, and nobody was interested in trading with them. This also isn’t the first time Vikings GM Rick Spielman has made a controversial move. In 2004 when he was with Miami, he traded their 2nd round pick to Philadelphia for AJ Feeley.

Without a quarterback, the Vikings had a few options. First, they could have taken an offensive lineman to shore up a line that outside of LG Steve Hutchinson and C John Sullivan flat-out sucks. Even Sullivan is still developing, and there were plenty of tackles who could have gone in this spot. They could have taken defensive lineman considering Ray Edwards is likely gone, the Williams’ are going to get suspended, and Jared Allen is monstrously over-rated and overpaid. Then, there’s the whole matter of taking a question mark tight end in the second round it simply beyond logic.

19) New England Patriots

  • Round 1: Pick 17, Overall Pick #17 (From Oakland) – Nate Solder, OT, Colorado
  • Round 2: Pick 1, Overall Pick #33 (From Carolina) – Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia
  • Round 2: Pick 24, Overall Pick #56 (From New Orleans) – Shane Vereen, RB, California
  • Round 3:  Pick 9, Overall Pick #73 (From Houston) – Stevan Ridley, RB, LSU
  • Round 3: Pick 10, Overall Pick #74 (From Minnesota) – Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas
  • Round 5: Pick 7, Overall Pick #138 (From Houston) – Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU
  • Round 5: Pick 28, Overall Pick #159 – Lee Smith, TE,  Marshall
  • Round 6: Pick 29, Overall Pick #194 (From New York Jets via Philadelphia) – Markell Carter, OLB, Central Arkansas
  • Round 7: Pick 16, Overall Pick #219 (From Oakland) – Malcolm Williams, CB, TCU

Overall Draft Grade:  B

Solder is mammoth even for a lineman (6’9″), and he has all the potential in the world. The Pats need younger protection for Tom Brady an escort for whichever running back they are featuring this week, and Solder could easily grow into one of the games dominant tackles. The big question is does Ryan Mallett take advantage of the gift situation to learn how to play the game at the top-level? Face it, if the guy can’t succeed in New England, where can he?

20) New Orleans Saints

  • Round 1: Pick 24, Overall Pick # 24 – Cameron Jordan, DE, California
  • Round 1:  Pick 28, Overall Pick #28  (From New England) – Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama
  • Round 3:  Pick 8, Overall Pick #72 (From Washington) – Martez Wilson, ILB, Illinois
  • Round 3: Pick 24, Overall Pick #88 – Johnny Patrick, CB, Louisville
  • Round 7: Pick 23, Overall Pick #226 – Greg Romeus, DE,  Pittsburgh
  • Round 7: Pick 40 Overall Pick #243 (Compensatory Selection) – Nate Bussey, OLB, Illinois

Overall Draft Grade: A+

What’s not to love about this draft? In a division stocked with quarterback and running backs, the Saints not only scored a potentially great runner, but selected a cast of characters to stop the other guy’s offense. Cameron Jordan is a jail-break edge-pass rusher, Martez Wilson offers  represents a good all-around option to bolster the linebacking corps around Jonathan Vilma; and Greg Romeus (if he can stay healthy) is a potential Steal of the Draft candidate.

21) New York Giants

  • Round 1: Pick 19, Overall Pick #19 – Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
  • Round 2:  Pick 20, Overall Pick #52 – Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina
  • Round 3: Pick 19, Overall Pick #83 – Jerrel Jernigan, WR, Troy
  • Round 4:  Pick 20, Overall Pick #117, James Brewer, OT, Indiana
  • Round 6: Pick 20, Overall Pick #185, Greg Jones, ILB, Michigan State
  • Round 6: Pick 33, Overall Pick #198 (Compensatory Selection) – Tyler Sash, S, Iowa
  • Round 6:  Pick 37, Overall Pick #202 (Compensatory Selection) – Jacquain Williams, OLB, South Florida
  • Round 7: Pick 18, Overall Pick #221 – Da’Rel Scott, RB, Maryland

Overall Draft Grade: D

The Giants offensive line is beginning to show its age; right now 3 of the 5 starters have been in the league 10 years or more. Waiting until the 4th round to address was a huge mistake.

22) New York Jets

  • Round 1: Pick 30, Overall Pick #30 –  Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
  • Round 3: Pick 30, Overall Pick #94 –  Kenrick Ellis, DT, Hampton
  • Round 4:  Pick 29,  Overall Pick #126 –  Bilal Powell, RB, Louisville
  • Round 5:  Pick 22, Overall Pick #153 (From Philadelphia) – Jeremy Kerley, WR, TCU
  • Round 7:  Pick 5, Overall Pick #208 (From Arizona) – Greg McElroy, QB, Alabama
  • Round 7: Pick 24, Overall Pick #227 (From Seattle via Philadelphia) – Scotty McKnight, WR, Colorado

Overall Draft Grade:  B-

The last thing the Jets need is a quarterback, but it never hurts to have a smart guy on the team, not to mention, the Jets have had good luck with Alabama quarterbacks (Joe Namath, Richard Todd).  The offensive line could have used some help, but that didn’t happen.  So, the Jets built on their built on their strength, defense.

23) Oakland Raiders

  • Round 2: Pick 16, Overall Pick #48 –  Stefan Wisniewski, OG, Penn State
  • Round 3: Pick 17, Overall Pick #81 – Demarcus Van Dyke, CB, Miami (FL)
  • Round 3: Pick 28, Overall Pick #92 (From New England) – Joseph Barksdale, OT, LSU
  • Round 4: Pick 16, Overall Pick #113 – Chimdi Chekwa, CB, Ohio State
  • Round 4: Pick 28, Overall Pick #125 (From New England) – Taiwan Jones, RB, Eastern Washington
  • Round 5: Pick 17, Overall Pick #148 – Denarius Moore, WR, Tennessee
  • Round 6: Pick 16, Overall Pick #181 – Richard Gordon, TE, Miami (FL)
  • Round 7: Pick 38, Overall Pick #241 (Compensatory Selection) – David Ausberry, WR, USC

Overall Draft Grade:  C

Somehow the Raiders ended up as an 8-8 team, and this is the kind of draft I would expect from a team that has its best season in recent memory and still fired their head coach.

24) Philadelphia Eagles

  • Round 1: Pick 23, Overall Pick #23 – Danny Watkins, OT, Baylor
  • Round 2: Pick 22, Overall Pick #54 – Jaiquawn Jarrett, S, Temple
  • Round 3: Pick 26, Overall Pick #90 (From Baltimore) – Curtis Marsh, CB, Utah State
  • Round 4:  Pick 19, Overall Pick #116 (From Tampa Bay) – Casey Matthews, ILB, Oregon
  • Round 4: Pick 23, Overall Pick #120 – Alex Henery, K, Nebraska
  • Round 5: Pick 18, Overall Pick #149 (From San Diego) – Dion Lewis, RB, Pittsburgh
  • Round 5: Pick 30, Overall Pick #161 (From New York Jets) – Julian Vandervelde, OG, Iowa
  • Round 6: Pick 26, Overall Pick #191 (From Baltimore) – Jason Kelce, OG, Cincinnati
  • Round 6: Pick 28, Overall Pick #193 (From New England) – Brian Rolle ,OLB, Ohio State
  • Round 7: Pick 34, Overall Pick #237 (Compensatory Selection) – Greg Lloyd, DE, Connecticut
  • Round 7: Pick 37, Overall Pick #240 (Compensatory Selection) – Stanley Havill FB USC

Overall Draft Grade: C-

I really don’t get this first round pick;  a 26-year old rookie on a team that loves to play Logan’s Run – free agents in Phiiladelphia don’t live long after age 30. This could have been a good spot for a quarterback of the future (Andy Dalton perhaps) Michael Vick is over the age limit and Kevin Kolb is likely trade bait.  Out of the eleven picks taken here, I would be shocked if three make the roster.

25) Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Round 1: Pick 31, Overall Pick #31-  Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State
  • Round 2: Pick 31, Overall Pick #63 – Marcus Gilbert, OT, Florida
  • Round 3: Pick 31, Overall Pick #95 – Curtis Brown, CB, Texas
  • Round 4: Pick 31, Overall Pick #128 – Cortez Allen, CB, Citadel
  • Round 5: Pick 31, Overall Pick #162 – Chris Carter, OLB, Fresno State
  • Round 6: Pick 31, Overall Pick #196 – Keith Williams, OG, Nebraska
  • Round 7: Pick 29, Overall Pick #232 – Baron Batch, RB, Texas Tech

Overall Draft Grade: B

This is another team which needed offensive line help, and they got it. Plus, they got a versatile 3-4 defensive end who should fit into the Steelers’ scheme perfectly.

26) San Diego Chargers

  • Round 1: Pick 18, Overall Pick #18 – Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
  • Round 2: Pick 18, Overall Pick #50 – Marcus Gilchrist, CB, Clemson
  • Round 2: Pick 29, Overall Pick #61 (From New York Jets) – Jonas Mouton, OLB, Michigan
  • Round 3: Pick 18, Overall Pick #82 – Vincent Brown, WR, San Diego State
  • Round 3: Pick 25, Overall Pick # 89 (From Seattle) – Shareece Wright, CB, USC
  • Round 6: Pick 18, Overall Pick #183 – Jordan Todman, RB, Connecticut
  • Round 6: Pick 36,  Overall Pick #201 (Compensatory Selection) – Steve Schilling, OG, Michigan
  • Round 7: Pick 31, Overall Pick #234 (Compensatory Selection) – Andrew Gachkar, OLB, Missouri

Overall Draft Grade: C

The Chargers needed help in the defensive front seven, and Liuget fits that bill as a guy who made his name as a defender who is often “unblockable.” He is versatile and can play nose tackle in passing situations.

27) San Francisco 49ers

  • Round 1: Pick 7, Overall Pick #7 – Aldon Smith OLB Missouri
  • Round 2: Pick 4, Overall Pick #36 (From Denver) – Colin Kaerpernick, QB, Nevada
  • Round 3: Pick 16, Overall Pick #80 (From Jacksonville) – Chris Culliver ,CB, South Carolina
  • Round 4: Pick 18, Overall Pick #115 (From San Diego) –  Kendall Hunter, RB, Oklahoma State
  • Round 5: Pick 32, Overall Pick #163 (From Green Bay) – Daniel Kilgore, OG, Appalachian State
  • Round 6: Pick 17, Overall Pick #182 (From Jacksonville) – Ronald Johnson, WR, USC
  • Round 6: Pick 25, Overall Pick #190 (From Seattle) – Colin Jones, S, TCU
  • Round 7: Pick 8, Overall Pick #211 – Bruce Miller, DE,  Central Florida
  • Round 7: Pick 36, Overall Pick #239 (Compensatory Selection) – Mike Person, OT, Montana State
  • Round 7: Pick 47, Overall Pick #250 (Compensatory Selection) – Curtis Holcomb CB Florida A&M

Overall Draft Grade:

Aldon Smith will fit perfectly into 49ers 3-4 scheme. The glaring need this team had was at quarterback; and short of grabbing one when free-agency becomes available, Kaerpernick offers an interesting option for the future.

28) Seattle Seahawks

  • Round 1: Pick 25, Overall Pick #25 – James Carpenter,OT, Alabama
  • Round 3: Pick 11, Overall Pick #75 (From Detroit) – John Moffitt, OG, Wisconsin
  • Round 4: Pick 2, Overall Pick #99 (From Denver via New England) – K.J. Wright, OLB, Mississippi State
  • Round 4: Pick 10, Overall Pick #107 (From Detroit) – Kris Dunham, WR, Georgia
  • Round 5:  Pick 23, Overall Pick #154 (From Kansas City via Detroit) – Richard Sherman, CB, Stanford
  • Round 5: Pick 25, Overall Pick #156 – Mark Legree, S, Appalachian State
  • Round 6: Pick 8, Overall Pick #173 (From Detroit) – Byron Maxwell, CB, Clemson
  • Round 7: Pick 2,  Overall Pick #205 (From Denver via Detroit) – Lazarius Levingston, DE,  LSU
  • Round 7: Pick 39, Overall Pick #242 (Compensatory Selection) – Malcolm Smith, OLB, USC

Overall Draft Grade: F

The Carpenter pick would be the reach of the first round were it not for the Vikings’ pick of Ponder.

29) St. Louis Rams

  • Round 1: Pick 14, Overall Pick #14 – Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
  • Round 2: Pick 15, Overall Pick #47 – Lance Kendricks, TE, Wisconsin
  • Round 3: Pick 14, Overall Pick #78 – Austin Pettis, WR, Boise State
  • Round 4: Pick 15, Overall Pick #112 – Greg Salas,WR, Hawaii
  • Round 5: Pick 27, Overall Pick #158 (From Atlanta) – Jermale Hines, S, Ohio State
  • Round 7: Pick 13, Overall Pick #216 -Mikail Baker, CB, Baylor
  • Round 7: Pick 25, Overall Pick #228 (From Baltimore) – Jabara Williams, OLB, Stephen F. Austin
  • Round 7: Pick 26, Overall Pick #229 (From Atlanta) – Jonathan Nelson, CB, Oklahoma

Overall Draft Grade: B+

The Rams’ offense has a young quarterback who shows all the signs of being the real deal, having been named Offensive Rookie of the Year. It also boasts the only running back in the NFL to rush for 1,000 yards in each of the last six seasons. Going defense wasn’t a bad idea for the top of this draft.

30) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Round 1:  Pick 20, Overall Pick #20 – Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
  • Round 2: Pick 19, Overall Pick #51 – Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
  • Round 3: Pick 20, Overall Pick #84  – Mason Foster, OLB, Washington
  • Round 4: Pick 7, Overall Pick #104 (From Washington via Philadelphia) – Luke Stocker, TE, Tennessee
  • Round 5: Pick 20,  Overall Pick #151 – Ahmad Black, S, Florida
  • Round 6: Pick 22, Overall Pick #187 (From Kansas City) – Allen Bradford, RB, USC
  • Round 7: Pick 19, Overall Pick #222 – Anthony Gaitor, CB, Florida International
  • Round 7: Pick 35 Overall Pick #238  (Compensatory Selection) – Daniel Hardy, TE, Idaho

Overall Draft Grade: B

In a division loaded with quarterbacks, it clearly seems as though the Bucs’ philosophy was to load up on guys who can hit a quarterback.

31) Tennessee Titans

  • Round 1: Pick 8, Overall Pick #8 – Jake Locker, QB, Washington
  • Round 2: Pick 7, Overall Pick #39 – Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
  • Round 3: Pick 13, Overall Pick #77 – Jurrell Casey, DT, USC
  • Round 4: Pick 12, Overall Pick #109 – Colin McCarthy, OLB, Miami (FL)
  • Round 4: Pick 33, Overall Pick #130 (Compensatory Selection) – Jamie Harper, RB, Clemson
  • Round 5: Pick 1,1 Overall Pick #142 – Karl Klug, DT, Iowa
  • Round 6: Pick 10, Overall Pick #175 – Byron Stingily, OT, Louisville
  • Round 7: Pick 9, Overall Pick #212 – Zach Clayton, DT, Auburn
  • Round 7: Pick 48, Overall Pick #251 (Compensatory Selection) – Tommie Campbell, S, Califfornia (Pa)

Overall Draft Grade: C

This pick really frightened me, because there were so many options, and the chance to make a HUGE mistake.  They could have added some heft to an offensive line that could lead the way for Chris Johnson, since this team isn’t likely to have a quarterback. They could have gotten in on the swarm of defensive linemen available. All in all, I don’t think the Locker pick is that HUGE mistake, but rushing him into the starting role will be.

32) Washington Redskins

  • Round 1: Pick 16, Overall Pick #16 (From Jacksonville) – Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
  • Round 2: Pick 9, Overall Pick #41 – Jarvis Jenkins, DT, Clemson
  • Round 3: Pick 15, Overall Pick #79 (From Miami) – Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami (FL)
  • Round 4: Pick 8, Overall Pick #105 – Roy Helu, RB, Nebraska
  • Round 5: Pick 15, Overall Pick #146 (From Miami) – Dejon Gomes, S, Nebraska
  • Round 5: Pick 24, Overall Pick #155 (From New Orleans) – Niles Paul, WR, Nebraska
  • Round 6: Pick 12, Overall Pick #177 – Evan Royster, RB, Penn State
  • Round 6: Pick 13, Overall Pick #178 (From Houston) – Aldrick Robinson, WR, SMU
  • Round 7: Pick 10, Overall Pick #213 – Brandyn Thompson, CB, Boise State
  • Round 7: Pick 14, Overall Pick #217 (From Miami) – Maurice Hurt, OG, Florida
  • Round 7: Pick 21, Overall Pick #224 (From Indianapolis) – Markus White, DE, Florida State
  • Round 7: Pick 50 Overall Pick #253 (Compensatory Selection) – Chris Neild, DT, West Virginia

Overall Draft Grade: ?

I’m not even sure how to grade this, not because of the players selected, but because I tend to use the standard of how much will the players selected impact their teams two years from now. To be honest, between Daniel Snyder and Mike Shanahan, this organization has reached a Raider-like level of dysfunction, and I’m not sure if any players can help that as long as both of those guys are part of this organization.

What Your Team Needs To Do With It’s NFL Draft Pick

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. So, while you are spending today erasing that fog in your head made of far too much cheap beer and delivery pizza, take a few moments to look forward so that your team can give itself a better shot to be where the Packers find themselves today.

Everybody has a “mock draft or a “big draft board,” and we are no different…well, except we here at Dubsism are not interested in being the next Mel Kiper; we are more interested in making your team better rather than listening to ourselves blather on or getting some face time four our increasingly-odd pompadour. In other words, we wholeheartedly reject the Mel Kiper theory which states you always draft the best player available. Sometimes, you are better off making a move to help your team. Be advised that as you peruse this list, “The Kiper Theory” is based on the Dubsism Big Board, which does not really care what Mel says, and doesn’t really care about workouts, combines, and the silliness of those college “all-star ” games which are really just glorified scrimmages.

1) Carolina Panthers

What the Kiper Theory Says: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

What Dubsism Believes: Trade Down

I get why Fairley tops the draft board, he’s a killer who can either play the attacking end in a 3-4 scheme, or be a two-gap tackle in a 4-3 setup. To be honest, he likely fits best in a one-gap system, but his explosive nature allows him to routinely disrupt the  the opponents backfield.

But face it…the Panthers have more holes to fill than draft picks with which to do so. The math is simple; trading this pick would result in an opportunity to get two, perhaps three picks in a draft that is chock full of defensive talent. Granted, whoever trades with the Panthers likely does so to take Fairley.

2) Denver Broncos

What the Kiper Theory Says: Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

What Dubsism Believes: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

Assuming Elvis Dumervil returns from his torn pectoral injury, he gives the Broncos an established edge pass-rusher. However, Peterson is a natural talent that should improve any defense, both run and pass. Plus, his great straight-line speed means he closes gaps in pass coverage and makes for a dynamic return man. The possibility exists that  Champ Bailey might not be back, which means the secondary would suddenly become the Broncos most glaring need amongst the several they already have.

3) Buffalo Bills

What the Kiper Theory Says: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

What Dubsism Believes: A.J. Green, WR Georgia

The conventional wisdom says the top two defensive lineman will be off the board by this time. If that’s true, the Bills might be tempted to succumb to the Kiper theory by taking Patrick Peterson at this spot. But don’t forget the Bills have a solid offense in the making, and Green would provide a perfect deep option. If you don’t buy that, remember the Bills came within a Steve Johnson drop of beating the Steelers.

Big time receivers don’t come along every year, especially not ones who would be such a perfect fit for an offense dying for a star deep threat. Green’s speed, size, and athleticism could make the Bills receiving corps a nightmare to defend, especially if 6-5, 220-pound David Nelson continues to emerge.

4) Cincinnati Bengals

What the Kiper Theory Says: A.J. Green, WR Georgia

What Dubsism Believes: Trade Down

If you are the Bengals, you have three options. First is to get a quarterback for the future, as it is clear the Carson Palmer fantasy isn’t going to happen. However, Dan LeFevour could be grown into a NFL quarterback, and even if Bengal Nation doesn’t agree, there is no quarterback worth taking this high. If Marvin Lewis is serious about going to a run-first offense, you need depth at running back and on the offensive line; again, there is nobody in those categories worthy of a #4 overall pick. Finally, the Bengals could choose to build on what was a massively disappointing defense; trading down could net Cincinnati solid players at reduced prices as this draft is stocked with defensive talent.

5) Arizona Cardinals

What the Kiper Theory Says: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

What Dubsism Believes: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

Amukamara has all the physical skills to be great in run support and in coverage.  But, the Cardinals are in desperate need of a quarterback, and they are likely to be the team the buys the hype on Blaine Gabbert.

6) Cleveland Browns

What the Kiper Theory Says: Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri

What Dubsism Believes: Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson or Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri

The Browns could use a wide receiver, so in the unlikely event A.J. Green is still on the board, they would have to take him. But they also could use some help along the defensive front seven so Da’Quan Bowers would be a gift in this spot. If not, Smith is the pick, and he is the guy most likely to still be available at #6 available even though he may be the best pure pass-rusher in the draft.

7)  San Francisco 49ers

What the Kiper Theory Says: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

What Dubsism Believes: Make a Trade

While Kerrigan is an incredibly productive pass-rush specialist, he isn’t going to fit well into the 49ers 3-4 scheme. The glaring need this team has is at quarterback; packaging this pick in a deal with Denver that would net the 49ers Kyle Orton would be the smart move.

8 ) Tennessee Titans

What the Kiper Theory Says: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

What Dubsism Believes: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

This pick really frightens me, because there are so many options, and the chance to make a HUGE mistake.  If Ryan Kerrigan is available, he’s exactly the kind of pass-rusher the Titans could use. Gabe Carimi could add some heft to an offensive line that could lead the way for Chris Johnson, since this team isn’t likely to have a quarterback. Which leads us to the Cam Newton mistake, which I can totally see the Titans making. After all, when at first you don’t succeed (Vince Young), try, try, again. This means Cam Newton presents the rare opportunity to be the pick which dooms a franchise for at least five years.

9) Dallas Cowboys

What the Kiper Theory Says: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama

What Dubsism Believes: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

Dareus has a ton of upside, but Kerrigan would be the perfect catalyst for the Cowboys to abandon their massively mediocre 3-4 system.

10) Washington Redskins

What the Kiper Theory Says: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

What Dubsism Believes: Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama

Dareus is an incredible prospect from Nick Saban’s defense who plays well against the pass and the run, and his experience in the 3-4 is a big plus given the recent Albert Haynesworth fiasco. Ultimately, it doesn’t matter since until the Redskins can draft a new owner, they will be a train-wreck of a franchise.

11) Houston Texans

What the Kiper Theory Says: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple

What Dubsism Believes: Cameron Jordan, DE, California

The Texans are set at D-tackle, and we believe Wilkerson may be a “pig in a poke.” He does have so much potential upside that you can’t ignore him, but he also needs to go to the right place, and that isn’t Houston.  Jordan is a dominant end that can play both the run and pass.

12) Minnesota Vikings

What the Kiper Theory Says: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M

What Dubsism Believes: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State or Make a Trade

Without a quarterback the Vikings have a few options. First, they can draft Sherrod to shore up an offensive line that outside of LG Steve Hutchinson and C John Sullivan flat-out sucks. Even Sullivan is still developing, and Sherrod would make a solid addition. The other option is to package a deal to get Donovan McNabb; the deal gets even better if you can unload over-priced under-achievers like Bryant McKinnie, Phil Loadholt, and Jared Allen.

13) Detroit Lions

What the Kiper Theory Says: Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State

What Dubsism Believes: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M or Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State

One of the few good things the Lions have is Ndamukong Suh, and it is time for the Lions to build around what may be the most dominant defensive lineman since Alan Page. They really can’t go wrong with either of these picks, on the one side they get a lineman to play bookend with Suh, or they get a linebacker to eventually supplant the aging Julian Peterson.

14) St. Louis Rams

What the Kiper Theory Says: Rahim Moore, S, UCLA

What Dubsism Believes: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

The Rams’ offense has a young quarterback who shows all the signs of being the real deal, having been named Offensive Rookie of the Year. It also boasts the only running back in the NFL to rush for 1,000 yards in each of the last six seasons. What it needs is a deep threat, and Julio Jones fits that bill, with his freak-show build and skills.

15) Miami Dolphins

What the Kiper Theory Says: Julio Jones, WR,  Alabama

What Dubsism Believes: Rahim Moore, S, UCLA

Moore, a two-time All-American, lead the country in interceptions with 10 in 2009. Moore will be the first safety off the board during the April draft; the Dolphins would have loved to add Julio Jones to their offense to pair with Brandon Marshall, but we see him being gone by the time Miami selects and they simply can’t pass Moore at this spot.

16) Jacksonville Jaguars

What the Kiper Theory Says: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

What Dubsism Believes: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

Solder is mammoth even for a lineman (6’9″), and he has all the potential in the world. The Jags need better protection for David Garrard and an escort for Maurice Jones-Drew, and Solder could easily grow into one the games dominant tackles.

17) New England Patriots (pick from Oakland Raiders)

What the Kiper Theory Says: Nate Solder, OT,  Colorado

What Dubsism Believes: Trade Up

The Patriots have an interesting circumstance, they have two first-round picks in a draft full of what they need; linemen on both sides of the ball. The move here is to trade up to Carolina’s pick to take Nick Fairley.  If not, the Patriots take Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa with this pick.

18) San Diego Chargers

What the Kiper Theory Says: Cameron Jordan, DE, California

What Dubsism Beleives: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina

Here’s another case where the “Kiper” pick is likely to be off the board by the time the Chargers are on the clock. There’s a ton of mock drafts which have Quinn going much higher, but he brings too many unknowns to be a top 5 pick. Still, he brings a level of talent that ensures he goes somewhere in the first round; he brings an edge rush capability that any team could use.

19) New York Giants

What the Kiper Theory Says: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

What Dubsism Believes: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

The Giants offensive line is beginning to show its age; right now 3 of the 5 starters have been in the league 10 years or more. The time is now, the pick is Smith.

20) Tampa Bay Bucs

What the Kiper Theory Says: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida

What Dubsism Believes: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida

Center is a legitimate need for the Buccaneers. If Pouncey is available at this point there no way Tampa doesn’t select him.

21) Kansas City Chiefs

What the Kiper Theory Says: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

What Dubsism Believes: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

The Chiefs are largely a young team, except along the offensive line which has a 10-year and a 15-year veteran.  Costanzo is a great prospect that will bring some depth and new blood to their offensive line.

22) Indianapolis Colts

What the Kiper Theory Says: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina

What Dubsism Believes: Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama or Make a Trade

The need for the Colts to establish a running game was made apparent this past season; Peyton Manning simply cannot carry this team by himself any longer. This means the Colts need a running back and/or some offensive lineman. There simply aren’t any enough O-linemen in the first round for there to be one left at this slot, but trading down to the second round would offer a shot to grab two good ones.

23) Philadelphia Eagles

What the Kiper Theory Says: Jake Locker, QB, Washington

What Dubsism Believes: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

Picking a quarterback here almost makes sense, as the Eagles are keeping Michael Vick and likely trading Kevin Kolb, except there will be QBs available in the later rounds, and if a player like Ayers is still on the board, look for the Eagles to add yet another a disruptive force along the edges; Ayers is well-suited to make plays in an aggressive defense.

24) New Orleans Saints

What the Kiper Theory Says: J.J. Watt, DE,  Wisconsin

What Dubsism Believes: Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia

Houston represents a good all-around option to bolster the linebacking corps around Jonathan Vilma; he offers great athleticism and instincts. The Saints could take Watt here, but it’s more likely he slips to the Packers at #32.

25) Seattle Seahawks

What the Kiper Theory Says: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

What Dubsism Believes: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

Again, we don’t expect Castonzo to last on the board this long.  Liuget made his name as a defender who is often “unblockable.” He is versatile and can play nose tackle in passing situations.  He has tremendous upper-body strength.

26) Baltimore Ravens

What the Kiper Theory Says: Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama

What Dubsism Believes: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

In what proves to be a theme at this end of the round, a lot of time the guy you should get goes to another. However, Heyward makes a good fit with the Ravens, his versatility means he could play as an undersized 4-3 DT, a successful stand-up edge rusher, or 4-3 DE.

27) Atlanta Falcons

What the Kiper Theory Says: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

What Dubsism Believes: Allen Bailey, DE, Miami (FL)

Though he is somewhat undersized for the defensive line, Bailey features tremendous strength, speed, and athleticism. He also comes from in Georgia called Hog Hammock where he is rumored to have once killed an alligator with a shovel. How can you not love that kind of killer instinct in a defensive lineman.

28) New England Patriots

What the Kiper Theory Says: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

What Dubsism Believes: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple

Everybody has this guy rated high, including us, but he really looks like he could be the fall of the draft. Wilkerson is an ideal 5-technique end who sheds blockers with ease.  This is a trademark Patriots pick, look for them to score a quality player which most casual fans never heard of.

29) Chicago Bears

What the Kiper Theory Says: Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame

What Dubsism Believes: Matt Reynolds, OT, BYU

If you saw the shit-hammering Jay Cutler took all season long, you know the Bears’ must upgrade the offensive line.

30) New York Jets

What the Kiper Theory Says: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

What Dubsism Believes: Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina

The last thing the Jets need is a quarterback.  The offensive line could use help, but in this draft that’s what you have the later rounds for. In this case, the Jets might as well build on their strength.

31) Pittsburgh Steelers

What the Kiper Theory Says: Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia

What Dubsism Believes: Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame

This is another team which could use offensive line help, but there’s just nothing available at this point. But let’s be honest, if there’s a team that loves a tight end, its the Steelers.

32) Green Bay Packers

What the Kiper Theory Says: Allen Bailey, DE, Miami FL

What Dubsism Believes: JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin

If we saw anything in the Super Bowl, it was that the Packers could use some D-line bolstering. The alligator-killer won’t be available, but Watt is a versatile defensive linemen that should excel; he’s explosive against the run and the pass, Watt has that cliche “motor that just won’t quit,”  check out the accolades on this guy:

  • Lott IMPACT Trophy for nation’s top defensive player on and off the field (2010)
  • Second-team All-American (2010)
  • All-Big Ten (2010)
  • All-Big Ten honorable mention (2009)
  • Wisconsin Team MVP (2010);
  • Finalist for Bednarik and Hendricks Awards (2010)

Watt  delivered 21 tackles for a loss in 2010, including seven sacks, and the Packers sorely need more run-stoppers; plus, the Lott award and his Academic All-American status suggests both intelligence and high character.

The Dubsism “Anti-Kiper” NFL Draft Board

Everybody has a NFL Draft “Big Board.” But unlike the ones you  get from the “professionals” at ESPN, we here at Dubsism offer a draft board based on the fact we actually have watched college football at some point in our lifetimes. This means we don’t care about how much we love to hear our own bloviation, there isn’t another blog out there taking shots at us yet (so we don’t have that whole “Mel Kiper/Todd McShay thing happening), and we aren’t worried about how much face time our increasingly oddly-shaped pompadour gets.

Rather, we would rather put out rookie  draft “shopping list” that we feel is our best effort to help you, the NFL fan who knows almost nothing about college football beyond Cam Newton. We also won’t give you any flowery summaries of these players; there’s eight billion other sites doing that. Our model is you peruse the lists, both overall and by position, and decide which of these guys may help plug the numerous holes your favorite team has. However, we don’t bother with kickers and punters, largely because they are literally a “dime-a-dozen” and if you think a kicker is all that separates your team from a Super Bowl, you likely need a psychiatrist more than a draft board.

After the Super Bowl, we will revisit this list with some advice on what your sorry-ass team needs to do in order to improve itself, and this board will play a large part in that counsel. The one thing I would caution you against is that we here at Dubsism are firm believers in the “Mike Mamula” rule; meaning we don’t put much stock in the witchcraft that are the NFL Combines, so don’t expect this board to change significantly.

The Top Overall “Yes You Do Need Me, You Better Feed Me, Draft Me” 64:

  1. Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
  2. Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
  3. Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
  4. A.J. Green, WR Georgia
  5. Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
  6. Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri
  7. Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
  8. Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
  9. Marcell Dareus, DE, Alabama
  10. Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
  11. Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
  12. Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M
  13. Stephen Paea, DT,  Oregon State
  14. Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
  15. Julio Jones, WR,  Alabama
  16. Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
  17. Nate Solder, OT,  Colorado
  18. Cameron Jordan, DE, California
  19. Tyron Smith, OT, USC
  20. Mike Pouncey, C, Florida
  21. Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
  22. Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
  23. Jake Locker, QB, Washington
  24. J.J. Watt, DE,  Wisconsin
  25. Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
  26. Mark Ingram, RB,  Alabama
  27. Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State
  28. Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
  29. Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame
  30. Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
  31. Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia
  32. Allen Bailey, DE, Miami FL
  33. Brandon Harris, CB Miami FL
  34. Ryan Mallett, QB,  Arkansas
  35. Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech
  36. Drake Nevis, DT, LSU
  37. Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina
  38. Matt Reynolds, OT, BYU
  39. Jared Crick, DT, Nebraska
  40. Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina
  41. Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia
  42. Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburgh
  43. Rodney Hudson, OG, Florida State
  44. Quan Sturdivant, MLB, North Carolina
  45. Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh
  46. Daniel Thomas, RB, Kansas State
  47. Jerrell Powe, DT, Mississippi
  48. Jerrod Johnson, QB, Texas A&M
  49. Davon House, CB, New Mexico State
  50. Bilal Powell, RB, Louisville
  51. Brandon Burton, CB, Utah
  52. Jeremy Kerley, WR, TCU
  53. Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
  54. Jordan Todman, RB, Connecticut
  55. Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
  56. Tandon Doss, WR, Indiana
  57. Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia
  58. D.J. Williams, TE, Arkansas
  59. Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois
  60. John Clay, RB, Wisconsin
  61. Andy Dalton, QB, TCU
  62. Colin Kaerpernick, QB, Nevada
  63. Lee Ziemba, OT, Auburn
  64. Stefan Wiesniewski, OG, Penn State

The Top 15 By Position:

Quarterbacks

  1. Jake Locker, Washington (23)
  2. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri (30)
  3. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas (34)
  4. Jerrod Johnson, Texas A&M (48)
  5. Cam Newton, Auburn (55)
  6. Andy Dalton, TCU (61)
  7. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada (62)
  8. Greg McElroy, Alabama
  9. Tyrod Taylor, Virginia Tech
  10. Ricky Stanzi, Iowa
  11. Pat Devlin, Delaware
  12. Christian Ponder, Florida State
  13. Nathan Enderle, Idaho
  14. T.J. Yates, North Carolina
  15. Jeff Van Camp, Florida Atlantic

Running Backs

  1. Mark Ingram, Alabama (26)
  2. Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech (35)
  3. Daniel Thomas, Kansas State (46)
  4. Bilal Powell, Louisville (50)
  5. Jordan Todman, Connecticut (54)
  6. Mikel Leshoure, Illinois
  7. John Clay, Wisconsin
  8. Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State
  9. Shane Vereen, California
  10. Quizz Rodgers, Oregon State
  11. DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma
  12. Noel Devine, West Virginia
  13. Da’Rel Scott, Maryland
  14. Delone Carter, Syracuse
  15. Jamie Harper, Clemson

Wide Receivers

  1. A.J. Green, Georgia (4)
  2. Julio Jones, Alabama (15)
  3. Jonathan Baldwin, Pittsburgh (45)
  4. Jeremy Kerley, TCU (52)
  5. Tandon Doss, Indiana (56)
  6. Dwayne Harris, East Carolina
  7. Leonard Hankerson, Miami FL
  8. Jerrel Jernigan, Troy
  9. DeAndre Brown, Southern Mississippi
  10. Ronald Johnson, USC
  11. Randall Cobb, Kentucky
  12. Titus Young, Boise State
  13. Torrey Smith, Maryland
  14. Austin Pettis, Boise State
  15. Niles Paul, Nebraska

Tight Ends

  1. Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame (29)
  2. D.J. Williams, Arkansas (58)
  3. Luke Stocker, Tennessee
  4. Andre Smith, Virginia Tech
  5. Lance Kendricks, Wisconsin
  6. Virgil Green, Nevada
  7. Preston Dial, Alabama
  8. Jordan Cameron, USC
  9. Charlie Gantt, Michigan State
  10. Cameron Graham, Louisville
  11. Richard Gordon, Miami FL
  12. Jeffery Anderson, UAB
  13. Allen Reisner, Iowa
  14. Mike McNeill, Nebraska
  15. Zach Pianalto, North Carolina

Offensive Tackles

  1. Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin (8)
  2. Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State (10)
  3. Nate Solder, Colorado (17)
  4. Tyron Smith, USC (19)
  5. Anthony Castonzo, Boston College (25)
  6. Matt Reynolds, BYU (38)
  7. Lee Ziemba, Auburn (63)
  8. Marcus Cannon, TCU
  9. DeMarcus Love, Arkansas
  10. Jason Pinkston, Pittsburgh
  11. Derek Hall, Stanford
  12. Marcus Gilbert, Florida
  13. Willie Smith, East Carolina
  14. Joseph Barksdale, LSU
  15. Danny Watkins, Baylor

Interior Offensive Lineman

  1. Mike Pouncey, Florida (20)
  2. Rodney Hudson, Florida State (43)
  3. Stefan Wiesniewski, Penn State (64)
  4. Jake Kirkpatrick, TCU
  5. Justin Boren, Ohio State
  6. Ben Ijalana, Villanova
  7. John Moffitt, Wisconsin
  8. Keith Williams, Nebraska
  9. Kristofer O’Dowd, USC
  10. Sampson Genus, South Florida
  11. Brandon Fusco, Slippery Rock
  12. Clint Boling, Georgia
  13. Zane Taylor, Utah
  14. Zach Hurd, Connecticut
  15. Stephen Schilling, Michigan

Defensive Tackles

  1. Nick Fairley, Auburn (1)
  2. Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple (11)
  3. Stephen Paea, Oregon State (13)
  4. Corey Liuget, Illinois (28)
  5. Drake Nevis, LSU (36)
  6. Marvin Austin, North Carolina (37)
  7. Jared Crick, Nebraska (39)
  8. Jarell Powe, Mississippi (47)
  9. Christian Ballard, Iowa
  10. Phil Taylor, Baylor
  11. Jurrell Casey, USC
  12. Sione Fua, Stanford
  13. Lawrence Guy, Arizona State
  14. Sealver Siliga, Utah
  15. Jarvis Jenkins, Clemson

Defensive Ends

  1. Da’Quan Bowers, Clemson (2)
  2. Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue (7)
  3. Marcell Dareus, Alabama (9)
  4. Adrian Clayborn, Iowa (16)
  5. Cameron Jordan, California (18)
  6. Robert Quinn, North Carolina (22)
  7. J.J. Watt, Wisconsin (24)
  8. Cameron Heyward, Ohio State (32)
  9. Allen Bailey, Miami FL (32)
  10. Greg Romeus, Pittsburgh (42)
  11. Pernell McPhee, Mississippi State
  12. Sam Acho, Texas
  13. Jabaal Sheard, Pittsburgh
  14. Brandon Bair, Oregon
  15. Ricky Elmore, Arizona

Outside Linebackers

  1. Aldon Smith, Missouri (6)
  2. Von Miller, Texas A&M (12)
  3. Akeem Ayers, UCLA (21)
  4. Bruce Carter, North Carolina (40)
  5. Justin Houston, Georgia (57)
  6. Thomas Keiser, Stanford
  7. Dontay Moch, Nevada
  8. Mason Foster, Washington
  9. Jeremy Beal, Oklahoma
  10. K.J. Wright, Mississippi State
  11. Mark Herzlich, Boston College
  12. Jamari Lattimore, Middle Tennessee State
  13. Quentin Davie, Northwestern
  14. Lawrence Wilson, Connecticut
  15. Chris Carter, Fresno State

Inside Linebackers

  1. Quan Sturdivant, North Carolina (44)
  2. Greg Jones, Michigan State
  3. Martez Wilson, Illinois
  4. Alex Wujciak, Maryland
  5. Kelvin Sheppard, LSU
  6. Nate Irving, North Carolina State
  7. Josh Bynes, Auburn
  8. Jonathan Cornell, Mississippi
  9. Mike Mohamed, California
  10. Brad Jefferson, Georgia Tech
  11. Mario Harvey, Marshall
  12. Ross Homan, Ohio State
  13. Casey Matthews, Oregon
  14. Akeem Dent, Georgia
  15. Derrell Smith, Syracuse

Cornerbacks

  1. Patrick Peterson, LSU (3)
  2. Prince Amukamara, Nebraska (5)
  3. Brandon Harris, Miami FL (33)
  4. Ras-I Dowling, Virginia (41)
  5. Davon House, New Mexico State (49)
  6. Brandon Burton, Utah (51)
  7. Jimmy Smith, Colorado
  8. Aaron Williams, Texas
  9. Chimdi Chekwa, Ohio State
  10. Shareece Wright, USC
  11. Johnny Patrick, Louisville
  12. Brandon Hogan, West Virginia
  13. Brandyn Thompson, Boise State
  14. Curtis Brown, Texas
  15. Rashad Carmichael, Virginia Tech

Safeties

  1. Rahim Moore, UCLA (14)
  2. Ahmad Black, Florida
  3. DeAndre McDaniel, Clemson
  4. Tejay Johnson, TCU
  5. Quinton Carter, Oklahoma
  6. Robert Sands, West Virginia
  7. Nate Williams, Washington
  8. Jermale Hines, Ohio State
  9. Tyler Sash, Iowa
  10. Jaiquawn Jarrett, Temple
  11. Deunta Williams, North Carolina
  12. Will Hill, Florida
  13. David Sims, Iowa State
  14. Joe Lefeged, Rutgers
  15. Dejon Gomes, Nebraska

 

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