What Your Team Needs To Do With It’s 2013 NFL Draft Pick

12 02 2013

JW and Goodell draft

Now that we are finally past the Super Bowl, it is time to address the needs of your team heading into the NFL Draft. Everybody has a “mock draft or a “big draft board,” and we are no different…well, except we here at Dubsism are not interested in being the next Mel Kiper; we are more interested in making your team better rather than listening to ourselves blather on or getting some face time four our increasingly-odd pompadour.

In other words, we wholeheartedly reject the “Mel Kiper theory” which states you always draft the best player available. Sometimes, you are better off making a move to help your team. Be advised that as you peruse this list, “The Kiper Theory” is based on an aggregate of several mock drafts and Kiper’s own board. Then, we will give you the best available player according to the Dubsism Big Board. After that, we will give you the straight dope on what we believe your team really needs to do to best address its needs.  Be advised that we here at Dubsism really don’t care what Mel says, and we really don’t care that much about workouts, combines, and the silliness of those college “all-star ” games which are really just glorified scrimmages. Instead, we are all about realistic football solutions.

mel kiper slash

1) Kansas City Chiefs 

  • Biggest Needs: Quarterback, Defensive End, Inside Linebacker
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Chiefs are the most talented, yet lousy team in the NFL. They really can’t fill their biggest need with this pick; there simply isn’t a “franchise” quarterback in this draft. Trading down for draft picks would be a wise move.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Luke Joeckel.

2) Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Biggest Needs: Quarterback, Offensive Line, Linebacker
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believes: If for some reason, the Chiefs don’t take Luke Joeckel, Jacksonville has to grab him. Otherwise, Jarvis Jones is the clear choice.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Jarvis Jones.

3) Oakland Raiders

  • Biggest Needs: Quarterback, Cornerback, Defensive End
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
  • What Dubsism Believes:  Right now, the Raiders best corner is Michael Huff, a converted safety. This is one reason why the Raiders pass defense is pitiful. Another reason is the Raider pass rush could be on a milk carton; it’s been missing for years. This is why Oakland needs to take either Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama or Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Bjoern Werner.

4) Philadelphia Eagles

  • Biggest Needs: Cornerback, Linebacker, Offensive Line
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie experiment has been a complete failure. DeMeco Ryan and Mychal Kendricks are solid linebackers, but they need another piece to be a complete unit. The offensive line is a mess, which is why the Eagles will not address any of those issues.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah.

5) Detroit Lions

  • Biggest Needs: Defensive End, Cornerback, Offensive Guard
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
  • What Dubsism Believes: The right side of the Detroit Lions’ offensive line has been the weak side, with the weakest link being veteran right guard Stephen Peterman. The 30-year-old is entering the final season of his contract, and here’s a perfect opportunity for Detroit to upgrade with Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama.  The impending loss of Cliff Avril could also mean the Motor City Kitties jump on whoever is left between defensive ends Bjoern Werner or Damontre Moore. Alabama CB Dee Milliner is also a realistic possibility here. To make a long story short, the Lions have a lot of choices, and you just know they will make the wrong one.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M.

6) Cleveland Browns 

  • Biggest Needs: Defensive End, Safety, Cornerback
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
  • What Dubsism Believes:  I’ll be shocked if Werner is still on the board at pick #6. Kiper will be shocked if Moore is still on the board here. The Browns take whichever one is still available. If both of them are gone, they need to trade down.
  • What They Will Actually Do: They will try to trade this pick. If they can’t do that, they will take Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama.

7) Arizona Cardinals

  • Biggest Needs: Quarterback, Offensive Tackle, Cornerback
  • What the Kiper Thoery Says: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believes: There just won’t be either a quarterback or a cornerback worth taking at this pick.  If  Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan is still on the board at this slot, The Cardinals have to take him. Otherwise, they need to trade down as there is a ton of corner and o-line depth further down in this draft.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Alec Ogletree.

8 ) Buffalo Bills

  • Biggest Needs: Linebacker, Quarterback, Wide Receiver
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bills have had one of the league’s least productive passing offenses, in large part due to the lack of progression from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who  continues to struggle with mistakes, and has yet to really drive a credible down-field   passing game. While Fitzpatrick is not terrible, but also isn’t the guy who will take Buffalo to the world of January football.  The trouble is that the Bills are committed to big money for Fitzpatrick until 2017. Buffalo has to take a linebacker here, although Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama is a reasonable possibility as well if he is still on the board.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Barkevious Mingo.

9) New York Jets

  • Biggest Needs: Quarterback, Linebacker, Safety
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
  • What Dubsism Believes: The best players on the board at this point are defensive linemen, which is actually one of the strengths the Jets have. There isn’t a solution to their quarterback problems in this draft. OLB Barkevious Mingo from LSU would be a nice pick at this spot, but I think he won’t slip this far.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

10) Tennessee Titans

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Guard, Safety, Running Back
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: Mike Munchak is head coach of the Titans. Mike Munchak has criticized the play of his offensive line. Mike Munchak is also a Hall-of-Fame offensive lineman.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Chance Warmack.

11) San Diego Chargers

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Line, Cornerback, Defensive Line
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Chargers have a desperate need at guard, Cooper is the obvious choice.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Jonathan Cooper.

12) Miami Dolphins 

  • Biggest Needs: Wide Receiver, Cornerback, Offensive Tackle
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Keenan Allen, WR California
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Miami Dolphins drafted their franchise quarterback last season in Ryan Tannehill, but now they need to find him a go-to wide receiver. Brian Hartline and Davone Bess are solid possession receivers, but the Dolphins lack a down-field playmaker.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Keenan Allen.

13) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Biggest Needs: Cornerback, Defensive Tackle, Safety
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Manti Te’o, ILB, Natre Dame
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
  • What Dubsism Believes: Richardson would make a perfect partner on the defensive line for Gerald McCoy.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Sheldon Richardson.

14) Carolina Panthers 

  • Biggest Needs: Defensive Tackle, Cornerback, Offensive Tackle
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: They need a solution for their offensive tackle problem immediately and there is depth at defensive tackle further down the draft board.
  • What They Will Actually Do:  Take Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
15) New Orleans Saints
  • Biggest Needs: Linebascker, Cornerback, Defensive End
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Sharif  Floyd, DT, Florida
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Saints need help on the defensive side of the ball. Rhodes goes to New Orleans, unless the Saints select LB Kevin Minter from LSU to go alongside Jonathan Vilma.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Kevin Minter.

16) St. Louis Rams

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Tackle, Safety, Linebacker
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Rams have a $50 million investment in their quarterback, and now it’s time to protect that investment. They really need to take an offensive lineman.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama

17) Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Biggest Needs: Running Back, Linebacker, Offensive Line
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Steelers have a long tradition of taking the top player on the board, and since they love defense, it is easy to see them taking Ansah or Vaccaro, although neither meets one of the current needs.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State, who I think will be the best player left on the board at this point.

18 ) Dallas Cowboys

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Line, Offensive Line, Offensive Line
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Cowboys really need to set right tackle Doug Free free.  Not only that, but the Cowboys still face massive challenges all across the offensive line. Frankly, it might not be a bad idea for the Cowboys to trade up to Kansas City’s #1 pick by offering QB Kyle Orton and picks to get Luke Joeckel. Short of that, there’s no way they pass on Chance Warmack or Lane Johnson here if either is still on the board.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

19) New York Giants

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Line, Linebacker, Cornerback
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
  • What Dubsism Believes: To be blunt, the Giants offensive line sucks. The Giants have no choice but to draft offensive linemen, and they must take the best one still on the board at this pick. The problem is that the ones worthy of a first-round pick, except for Barrett Jones, C, Alabama, are likely going to be gone by this point, abnd the Giants really need tackles and guards.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

20) Chicago Bears

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Tackle, Offensive Guard, Tight End
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bears offensive line needs are so desperate that the whole world has to know what they are going to do. I don’t think Fluker slides to the Bears at the 20th overall pick, but if he does, he’s “must take” material. Having said that, don’t be surprised to see the Bears make the worst pick of the first round.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Manti “Hawaiian Urlacher” Te’o, ILB, Notre Dame

21) Cincinnati Bengals 

  • Biggest Needs: Linebacker, Safety, Center
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Bengals have a rare choice to get the best guy at two of the positions where they need help. Vaccaro is the best safety on both the Kiper and Dubsism  boards, but Alabama’s Barrett Jones is a two-time All-American center who could could fit nicely in this slot.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Kenny Vaccaro.

22) St. Louis Rams (pick from the Washington Redskins)

  • Biggest Needs:  Offensive Tackle, Safety, Linebacker
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Keenan Allen, WR, California
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Johnathan Banks, CB, Mississppi State
  • What Dubsism Believes: This is the pick from the RGIII trade last season Assuming the Rams met thire biggest need for an offensive tackle, it would make sense the take Banks, to shore up a shaky secondary.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Johnathan Banks.

23) Minnesota Vikings

  • Biggest Needs: Wide Receiver, Defensive Tackle, Inside Linebacker
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Sylvester Williams, DE, North Carolina
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
  • What Dubsism Believes: When healthy, Percy Harvin can be one of the NFL’s most dynamic play-makers…when healthy.The Vikings need another weapon that quarterback Christian Ponder can rely on. If Tennessee WR Cordarelle Patterson is still on the board, he’s the pick for Minnesota.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Cordarelle Patterson.

24) Indianapolis Colts

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Line, Cornerback, Wide Receiver
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Johnathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Colts simply must do a better job of protecting Andrew Luck. With the exception of left tackle Anthony Costanzo, Indianapolis could use an upgrade at each offensive line position.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Barrett Jones, C, Alabama

25) Seattle Seahawks

  • Biggest Needs: Wide Receiver, Offensive Line
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
  • What Dubsism Believes: There’s wide receivers available in the later rounds. The Seahawks have to get an offensive lineman in this spot.But they can’t, because once Barret Jones is gone, there is officially no first-round talent left.

26) Green Bay Packers

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Tackle (particulary a left tackle), Cornerback, Safety
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
  • What Dubsism Believes: The fantasy is Alabama OT D.J. Fluker falls this far. The dream is Mississippi State S Johnathan Banks slips to this pick. A likely reality is that the Packers end up taking Alabama RB Eddie Lacy with this pick. After all, if you can’t stop a pass rush, you can always slow it down with a running game.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Eddie Lacy.

27) Houston Texans

  • Biggest Needs: Offensive Tackle, Cornerback, Wide Receiver
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Quinton Patton, WR, Louisiana Tech
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
  • What Dubsism Believes: Quinton Patton might be the most interesting guy to watch in this draft. I have no idea what to make of this guy. I’ve seen mock drafts (like Kiper’s) that have him going in the first round. I’ve also seen an equal number of mock drafts that have him being taken in the fifth round. He’s an exercise in mixed messages. His 40-yard dash times range from a respectable 4.42 to a not-so-slick 4.64. Either way, Patton looks to be a flanker/”Z”-type receiver in the NFL, which is not what the Texans need. They need a guy opposite Andre Johnson who is a play-making threat so that he doesn’t draw as much double coverage. The best case scenario for the Texans is tht Florida State CB Xavier Rhodes drops to this pick; the next best thing is they take Washington CB Desmond Trufant here.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Desmond Trufant.

28) Denver Broncos

  • Biggest Needs: Defensive Tackle, Defensive End, Cornerback
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Kawaan Short. DT, Purdue
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Barrett Jones, C, Alabama
  • What Dubsism Believes: Kiper is far higher on Short than I am, but then again, I live in Purdue country and saw every one of Short’s games. On one hand, he could easily be that “Vince Wilfork”-style immovable object in the middle of the d-line.  But on the other hand, he could be the guy who commits to IHOP and eats his way out of the league. Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia, is a safer pick here.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Jonathan Jenkins.

29) New England Patriots 

  • Biggest Needs: Wide Receiver, Linebacker, Secondary
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Matt Elam, S, Florida
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
  • What Dubsism Believes: The Patriots have to take a receiver, because Wes Welker and Julian Edelman are slated to become unrestricted free agents. That leaves Brandon Lloyd as the only true wide receiver on the Patriots’ roster under contract for next season.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Justin Hunter. 

30) Atlanta Falcons

  • Biggest Needs: Tight End, Defensive Tackle, Running Back
  • What the Kiper Thoery Says: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
  • What the Dubsism Big Board Says: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
  • What Dubsism Believes: Eifert won’t be another Tony Gonzalez, but nobody will be. Stanford’s Zach Ertz is the cream of this crop of tight ends, and I think he may still be around by the time the Falcons are on the clock. If there’s been a run on DT’s up to this point, don’t be surprised to see Purdue’s Kawaan Short be selected with this pick. 
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Zach Ertz.

31) San Francisco 49ers

  • Biggest Needs: Defensive Line, Bench depth in general
  • What the Kiper Theory Says:  Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
  • What Dubsism Believes: Jenkins, the Georgia defensive tackle, is the perfect fit with the 49ers; the one piece they are missing is a gap-filling nose tackle.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Kawaan Short, DT, Purdue

32) Baltimore Ravens

  • Biggest Needs: Inside Linebacker, Safety, Cornerback
  • What the Kiper Theory Says: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
  • What The Dubsism Big Board Says: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
  • What Dubsism Believes: There’s no way the Ravens take an offensive player in the first round, considering they likely have to replace at least two of the following: Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, and Paul Kruger. The Ravens take an inside linebacker here, most likely Kansas State’s Arthur Brown.
  • What They Will Actually Do: Take Arthur Brown.
About these ads

Actions

Information

2 responses

13 02 2013
sportsattitudes

“The Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie experiment has been a complete failure.” – I don’t think I’ve ever seen two high-profile DB’s chasing guys into the end zone all season long. You were too kind to their performance. As for the Eagles OL, I suspect we’ll draft another fireman and try to convert him to the NFL. If at first you don’t succeed…

18 02 2013
ChrisHumpherys (@SportsChump)

All the talk here in Tampa is obviously about drafting defense although, I have heard they’re also looking for another big time wide receiver through free agency.

Dwayne Bowe anyone?

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s




Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 119 other followers

%d bloggers like this: